
The Washington Times is reporting that al Qaeda has experienced several key setbacks lately. According to CIA Director Michael Hayden, Pakistan's frontier region has become neither "safe nor a haven" for al Qaeda. The article notes that attacks against al Qaeda in the region have become more accurate. This increases the success rate, evidenced by the recent killing of several high profile al Qaeda members. It also has reduced the incidents of civilian casualties.
The Washington Times also notes a high level Pakistani official who claims that animosity between the foreign Arab al Qaeda leadership and the native tribal leaders (also Taliban leadership no doubt) has increased. The improved targeting is likely evidence of this claim. I have written several times that success will come when the Pakistan government splits these tribes and puts them into a situation in which they are jockeying for the government's support. Thats when the tribes will begin turning over al Qaeda leaders to gain favor. To a small extent, that has been happening for a few years. It appears to have accelerated.