
This morning, I saw some flurries on the radar in York County, PA. Following the wind flow, the band had a chance of reaching northern Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil Counties. So I had to adjust my early forecast. Then, Ralph in Westminster called saying he had snow grains on his deck. Sure enough, when I switched over to super sensitive mode, I found the flurries and light snow in all of the counties north of Baltimore.
Later today, as the cold air builds in, I see more widespread snow showers slipping south through all of Maryland. The wind shift itself, will bring us down colder than this last shot. It looks like lows in the 20s, and a Friday in the mid 30s. But the low temperature on Saturday morning will miss the record of 15F set back in 1880.
About that snow:
Here is the Adonis model that I have analyzed to show light snow Friday morning. This looks like it will cross the bay to the Eastern Shore as well. This is like this past Tuesday, where the National Weather Service, who is bound by their GFS model, missed the subtleties. So they may or may not adjust their forecast, but it's all about the upper level energy.
I see the support for snow showers to regenerate during the day on Friday. The trough axis (in purple) and the vort max (black x) are in a prime spot mid day Friday. This looks more promising than the Tuesday event. While up to a half in or so is the most I expect, another 6-12 inches of snow is expected for the mountains of Western MD and West Virginia. Below I have posted new video from Snowshoe, with a confirmed 31 inches in 3 days. Wow! I will be there in a few weeks, and am working on a live report for December 5th. I can't wait- fellow snow lovers. Ours will come soon enough...
Snow totals 31inches in Snowshoe, WV early this week: