While high pressure will remain in control over the region for one more day with hot temperatures, the main story is clearing the progression of powerful Hurricane Earl.
Hurricane Earl is moving to the north-northwest at 18 mph as of 8 AM. Earl is expected to continue to move to the north-northwest through this afternoon, approaching the North Carolina Outer Banks. Earl will come very close to the Outer Banks and may make a brief landfall on the far eastern portions of the Outer Banks. Earl is then expected to turn due north and then north-northeast tonight under the influence of a strong cold front approaching from the Great Lakes.
The speed and location of Hurricane Earl is going to be very important in determining the impacts of Hurricane Earl on the Northern Mid Atlantic. The further west Earl gets beyond 75W, the closer Earl will be for the New Jersey coast. However, it is clear that the worst impacts from Earl will remain over the New Jersey and New York coastal waters with tropical storm conditions expected along the New Jersey coast and much of central and eastern Long Island. Of the two locations, eastern Long Island has the best potential to experience hurricane force winds for a short period of time. Meanwhile, further to the northwest, the impacts of Earl will decrease rapidly. For example, central Monmouth County of New Jersey and New York City will likely experience scattered showers, breaks of sun from time to time, and sustained winds fluctuating between Tropical Depression strength (30 mph or less) and Tropical Storm Strength (40 to 60 mph) within each passing rain band. Further to the west over the Delaware River Valley and the northern interior, very little in the way of impact will be felt from Earl with the majority of the rainfall on Friday coming from the advancing cold front to the west.
Hurricane Earl will impact southern New Jersey starting at 11 AM tomorrow and will exit eastern Long Island and eastern Connecticut by 8 PM tomorrow. By late tomorrow night, skies will clear, winds will decrease rapidly, and any influence from Hurricane Earl and the advancing cold front will be decreasing rapidly.
High pressure will dominate through this weekend and into early next week with clear skies, low humidity, and comfortable conditions. Temperatures will range from the mid 70's to lower 80's for highs and upper 50's to lower 60's for lows.
For details for your location, visit NY NJ PA Weather Local Seven Day Forecast.
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