Dean Grubbs

Winter weather pattern turning toward colder January

Unfortunately the idea of snow or ice on Christmas or Boxing Day is not coming to fruition. There are a few reasons that the storm is not going to reach our region but rest assured that...

Is a Christmas or Boxing Day storm on the way?

Are you dreaming of a White Christmas? Do you remember last year's Boxing Day Knockout snowstorm with fondness? There is a good opportunity for a repeat. The Triangle recieved 4-8" of snow with...

Subtropical jet stream working its magic as Christmas approaches

A stereotypical La Nina features a strong northern jet stream which maintains a storm track north and west of our region. The fact that high pressure flows toward low explains why the south and eastern regions of our country...

Seasonal cold will not last

The seasons can be described in two groups, short and broad wavelengths. Transitional seasons like Spring and Fall feature more frequent frontal passages and temperature changes. Summer and Winter are more prone to contain repetive weather patterns and a...

Winter 2011-12 Outlook: The season will be defined by its big events

There is no seasonal outlook that causes more consternation than forecasting winter. In my 15 year experience I have found that winters that are warmer and less snow than forecast lead to volleys of rotten vegetables! Oddly enough...

Winter 2011-12, a 1-2-3 preview

Recently the most frequent question has been about the upcoming winter. The previous 2 winters were cold, reminiscent of the late 1970's. Central VA was buried in snow during the 2009-10 campaign and the NC...

Katia to remain offshore, a new Cape Verde wave is developing

Hurricane Katia has caused some angst this week as model projections struggled with her track. Running the slot between Cape Hatteras and Bermuda has always been the most probable outcome but other potentially landfalling solutions were...

Hurricane Katia projected path cause for concern?

Hurricane Katia will need to be watched carefully during the next 4-6 days. There is a potential that the storm will fail to be pulled northward by a passing trough. If this occurs then there will be...

Irene is a serious storm, focusing on top winds is a huge mistake

The perspective on Irene and storms like her is based on typical of tropical storms in the lower latitudes. Storms like Andrew (FL Hit) and Charley feature extremely high winds that often cover less than 40 miles from center...

Irene ashore at Cape Lookout, NC

Irene made landfall near Cape Lookout NC just prior to 8 AM this morning. The 845 Radar image from Morehead City shows both locations within the eye. Oriental, NC is reporting storm surge flooding that is higher than...

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Winter weather pattern turning toward colder January

Is a Christmas or Boxing Day storm on the way?

Subtropical jet stream working its magic as Christmas approaches

Seasonal cold will not last

Winter 2011-12 Outlook: The season will be defined by its big events

Winter 2011-12, a 1-2-3 preview

Katia to remain offshore, a new Cape Verde wave is developing

Hurricane Katia projected path cause for concern?

Irene is a serious storm, focusing on top winds is a huge mistake

Irene ashore at Cape Lookout, NC

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Winter 2011-12 weather pattern

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