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Maliki, the survivor

Maliki fights to hold onto Iraq, at least his piece of it.

Maliki supporters
Ali Al-Saadi | AFP | Getty Images

While there is a process and actions to replace him, Maliki is shaping a coup to stay in power. That is nontrivial. Iraq is falling apart from head to toe as many foreign policy analysts predicted would happen after the U.S. pulled out. You see, there is no Iraqi soul. That is, the people living there have different allegiances and lack an overarching allegiance for a unified federal government. Look around the Middle East to see that this is a systemic problem.

Maliki claims that he owns the office because the process failed to produce an alternative on time in accordance with a Constitutional deadline. He owns it by technical default.

The tribes, they wander. Shiites, Sunnis, Kurds, Christians and not elsewhere classified, the people of Iraq are aimless when it comes to allegiance to a central authority.

Josh Rogin of The Daily Beast reported that Obama policies have created the Iraqi calamity.

“America’s rush to pressure Iraq’s political process may have backfired, analysts say—contributing to the crisis that threatens to tank the new government before it gets started.
President Obama has said that more U.S. help to Iraq in fighting ISIS depends on the Iraqis forming an inclusive government. But the American strategy to push the Iraqi political process appears to be backfiring, analysts say—and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has decided to fight to the end to hold onto power.

U.S. officials said late Sunday night that Maliki was being unreasonable when heaccused Iraqi President Fouad Massoum of engaging in a “coup” by not selecting a new prime minister by Sunday midnight, the end of a constitutionally mandated deadline. Massoum’s failure to act left Maliki as the only choice for prime minister, according to Malik’s logic, a proposition U.S. officials sharply disagree with as they try to show Maliki the exit. (On Monday in Baghdad, Massoum finally appointed Haider al-Abadi to be Iraq's next Prime Minister.)”

Maliki is thumbing his nose at the U.S. while American’s try to cover him with bomb strikes on the Islamic State, according to Morning Joe. How does he believe that he can win in this scenario. Well, it boils down to winning the chunk that is Shiite and forfeiting the rest? Where else does Maliki have friendly allegiances?

Home again home again jiggity jig, Al-Maliki has friends in Syria and Iran. Can he cobble assistance from unlikely sources that include the U.S. to save a chunk of Iraq for himself while Sunnis and Kurds take their tribes in their own separate directions. That may be at the heart of the Maliki policy.

“Al-Maliki began his political career as a Shia dissident under Saddam Hussein's regime in the late 1970s and rose to prominence after he fled a death sentence into exile for 24 years. During his time abroad, he became a senior leader of Dawa, coordinated the activities of anti-Saddam guerrillas and built relationships with Iranian and Syrian officials whose help he sought in overthrowing Saddam. Al-Maliki worked closely with United States and coalition forces in Iraq since their departure by the end of 2011. In June 2014, the United States has asked for Maliki to give up his premiership.”

Here is a brilliant quote from Michael Rubin at the American Enterprise Institute.

"We've got to stop looking for angels (in political leaders). There are no angels," says Michael Rubin, an analyst at the American Enterprise Institute. "There are survivors."

America's angel of "hope" is on vacation and is dropping packages of mercy and loads of bombs while his policy is brewing and while Maliki stirs a coup.

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