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Expect Bowden, Nats to make significant noise in the offseason

Oct 2, 2007 12:00 AM (372 days ago) by Phil Wood, The Examiner
This story ranks Not ranked
Related Topics: WASHINGTON

WASHINGTON (Map, News) - Out of 30 big league clubs, the Washington Nationals ranked 28th overall in player salaries with a figure of $37.3 million. Only the two Florida teams, the Marlins and Rays, finished behind them in that department. On the other side of the ledger, the Nats finished tied with Houston for 21st overall in winning percentage. The Astros, however, spent an additional $50 million for their 73 wins.

If not for the Mets’ historic collapse in September, the NL East would have finished in order of their payrolls: New York $115.2M, Philadelphia $89.4M, Atlanta $87.2M, Washington, and Florida $30.5M.

We all accept that there’s a correlation between size of payroll and number of victories. It’s not so simple as spend the most and win the most; there are a lot of other factors that enter the equation, and luck is high on the list. But take this to heart: every major league scout I spoke to this year, regardless of team or league, told me they see a winner in Washington much sooner than later.

Nats’ GM Jim Bowden still takes his share of knocks from folks in the game who have dealt with him for years, but his performance this season rates a high mark. Those who questioned his wisdom in signing Dmitri Young now admit it was a solid move; one scout said it never dawned on him that Young’s previous issues could have been related to a medical condition like diabetes. Given Dmitri’s performance at the plate and much-needed clubhouse leadership — without so much as a hint of the mood swings that plagued him in Detroit — bringing him back for 2008 makes a lot of sense, whether Nick Johnson can play or not.

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Bowden and his staff put together a pitching staff out of thin air. The rotation that started the year and the one that finished up on Sunday bore little resemblance to each other beyond Matt Chico and Jason Bergmann. The wins and losses were so spread around that no one on the staff finished with double figures in either category. Maybe that’s happened before in the big leagues, but I sure can’t find it.

The 2007 Nationals allowed 110 runs more than they scored. To improve in 2008 at the new ballpark, they have to maintain some consistency in the starting rotation, but more importantly, add another bat to the everyday lineup. This is not a bountiful off-season for free agents. The premier names — Torii Hunter, Andruw Jones and Aaron Rowand — are far more likely to be targeted by the known contenders, but would the Nats consider bringing back Brad Wilkerson? Wilky hit 20 home runs as a part-timer with Texas this year, and was popular with the fans in 2005, prior to being traded for Alfonso Soriano. The Nats very nearly traded for Cincinnati’s Adam Dunn in July, and may re-visit that situation again this fall. Dunn and Austin Kearns are close friends, and Dunn’s been heard to speak favorably about playing in Washington. The Pirates have a new GM and CEO and may consider dealing Jason Bay after a sub-par 2007.

It’s safe to predict that the Nationals will not stand pat, despite overachieving in 2007. It’s also a cinch Bowden will figure out a way to stay in the headlines this fall and winter.

Hear Phil Wood Saturdays at 10 a.m. on SportsTalk 980 AM and weekly on Comcast SportsNet’s WPL through the World Series.

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Comments from Examiner Readers

6:33 PM MST on Sun., Apr. 27, 2008 re: "‘The 21st Century Ripken’"

Examiner Reader said:
There are many Nationals fans who are still patient with the team. I remember how Edward Bennett Williams as well as Peter Angelos tried---and failed---to build a winner with the Orioles by buying free agents. But my biggest nightmare is that once Zimmerman's contract runs out, he will sign a lucrative deal with another club because (a) the Lerners are unwilling to pay the money to keep him when they have the chance, (b) Zimmerman has no faith that the franchise will become a playoff contender anytime in his career, or (c) all of the above. Maybe the Lerners are smart by forcing Zimmerman to prove his worth this year, but if he has a breakout year and then flies the coop like Alfonso Soriano, fans' faith in The Plan will vanish like the wind. Edward J. Cunningham Rockville, MD

4 agree | 3 disagree
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2:00 PM MST on Tue., Apr. 22, 2008 re: "Don’t panic yet"

Examiner Reader said:
Gee, Phil, thanks. I'm glad you reminded us that we're all raving idiots and that you have been appointed by MENSA to set us straight. "It’s perfectly plain that the issue is offense." I'm glad we have an "expert" like you to tell us this. Hm. All along, I thought the problem was that Nationals Park doesn't have enough cupholders!!!

7 agree | 3 disagree
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10:34 AM MST on Tue., Apr. 22, 2008 re: "Don’t panic yet"

Examiner reader said:
Phil, is it ok for fans who call in to your radio show to comment on the Nats' play? Or are they also ignorant folks who know nothing about facts or logic?

4 agree | 2 disagree
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10:18 AM MST on Tue., Apr. 22, 2008 re: "Don’t panic yet"

Examiner reader said:
What an arrogant, condescending column this is. Fans shouldn't comment about and criticize the team because they don't know enough about baseball? Fans don't know what's going on in the dugout or in the clubhouse? Well why don't you tell us then, Phil, and disabuse us of our shallow, uninformed nonsense. And most fans agree that Lenny Harris did a terrific job last year? Really? Maybe it is you who is uninformed, Phil. (And anyway, who cares what the uninformed *fans* think?) Did you know that the Nats came very close in the offseason to not retaining Harris because they thought that he did not do a good job and was not ready to be a major league hitting coach?

8 agree | 2 disagree
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12:59 PM MST on Thu., Dec. 13, 2007 re: "New park feels like home already"

natsbaseball.com said:
Thanks Phil. Sounds wonderful - can't wait to see it. Being about the same age I remember attending the first baseball game at DC Stadium after experiencing Griffith for one or two seasons as a young child. It was a world of improvement over the falling down older park. After baseball returned 34 years later and about 15 years of going to Camden, RFK was, of course, kind of stark (I think is was designed by Joseph Stalin) but we all knew it was temporary and to have a home team again we would have put up with a lot worse. My only regret is the new stadium is in a location that couldn't be harder to get to for most of the area's fans. People are whining about the lack of parking - but it doesn't matter as there are no roads. Metro is bragging about being able to carry about 10,000 fans and hour. Since most of the 41,000 fans who could show up will have to go by metro - I cringe at the 4 hour trips it will take to get home. In that regard RFK had it all over the new park.

103 agree | 97 disagree
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12:20 AM MST on Wed., Oct. 3, 2007 re: "Expect Bowden, Nats to make significant noise in the offseason"

kjack said:
Another great article Phil. Why those idiots at espn[The world wide leader in crap]and fox don't hire informed,aware, and intelligent individuals like you. To inform the general public of the things that really matter in baseball. I'll personalll never understand.

190 agree | 213 disagree
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10:02 AM MST on Tue., Oct. 2, 2007 re: "Expect Bowden, Nats to make significant noise in the offseason"

EdDC said:
Phil, What do you think of going after Coco Crisp? He is still young and had back to back .300 seasons not long ago in Cleveland. Nats need a CF. Crisp didn't do much in BoSox pressure cooker, like Wily Mo Pena. So Crisp might benefit from just relaxing, knowing the world is not on his shoulders. His contract is reasonable: Covelli Crisp of 3 years/$15.5M (2007-09), plus $8M 2010 club option As to Bowden, I like him asking for the world. He tries hard and contacts many many teams, and if one or two bite, then Nats come out ahead. This is better than just trading to make trades.

244 agree | 227 disagree
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5:12 AM MST on Wed., Jul. 11, 2007 re: "Perhaps it’d be better to keep Young around"

Pope John Paul Ringo George said:
"Did you ever hear any specific player’s names that would’ve ended up here in exchange for the Fonz?" This is a poor argument. The reason the Nats never get serious offers in trade for Soriano, Dmitri, Cordero, Rauch, etc is becuase Bowden's asking price is not serious. He makes it known that you can only trade for a Nat if you're willing to be ripped off in the trade. His asking price starts so high, teams won't even attempt to negotiate with him. Then he comes back and says "hey, we never got any serious offers!" No sane, competent GM will ever trade with him on anyting above replacement level players.

278 agree | 228 disagree
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8:47 AM MST on Wed., Jun. 27, 2007 re: "Orioles could repeat managerial history with Trembley"

Norm said:
Trembley has got this team behind him. I like his vision. You can see it in the way this team is playing since he replaced Perlozzo. The Weaver like experience you cite nails it and is a huge bonus. It's precisely what the O's need to get to the next level. The way I see it, NONE of the other current candidates brings anything comparable to the table. With McPhail and Trembley, we are already on the right track.

303 agree | 799 disagree
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5:52 PM MST on Wed., May. 30, 2007 re: "A long, winding road from Baltimore"

Examiner Reader said:
I agree in that the Orioles should trade for Teixeira. There will be many teams after him. The "Dallas News" has an article that Boston, Dodgers, and Tigers may be interested. We should offer Cabrera, and two other players. Texas needs a starting pitcher. In the article he says the other teams would offer a pitching prospect. At least Cabrera has pitched in the majors the last three years. The Orioles would be set for the next 8 years at first base. That would be a nice infield. Also, go get Torri Hunter next year in free agency for center field.

350 agree | 262 disagree
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1:07 PM MST on Wed., May. 2, 2007 re: "O's game gives umps a black eye"

Dan said:
So is MLB saying that the score of a game has no impact on strategy? As far as Jay's comment: "The rules were followed." I don't think I ever read anywhere in the MLB rule book where you can score a run while you are on defense. The apeal was not that the run should not count, but that it is not fair to the Tribe that the run was awarded 3 innings after the fact. Contrary to MLB I beleive that the score of the game is the #1 item that determines strategy. The Tribe was denied 3 innings of basing their strategy on the current situation. my thought is that the game should be continued from the point where the controversial run scored, with Baltimore leading 3 to 1. In every other instance I can recall you must apeal a decision before the next pitch. Runner leaves too early when tagging up. Appeal has to be made before next pitch. G Brett's infamouse non home run? Had to be apealed before next pitch. Same for runner missing a base. O's did not raise issue for 3 inn, but thats O

298 agree | 286 disagree
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5:21 AM MST on Wed., May. 2, 2007 re: "A black eye for umps"

Jay said:
The run counted, why are you crying? The rules were followed, and the Indians are tryng to get by on a technicality, shame in them...very unsportsmanlike

387 agree | 300 disagree
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