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Baltimore condo sales plummeting in tough residential real estate market

Jul 13, 2008 12:00 AM (92 days ago) by Aaron Cahall, The Examiner
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Related Topics: BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE (Map, News) - Homeowners worried about the sliding value of their home have at least one thing to be grateful for — the condominium market might be even worse.

“The condo market is hurting from same factors hurting the general home market,” said Jody Landers, executive vice president of the Greater Baltimore Board of Realtors. “Financing isn’t easy, and people are deciding this isn’t the time to buy.”

Both new condo sales and condo resales in the Baltimore metro area are well behind last year’s pace, according to midyear data released last week by Delta Associates, a Washington, D.C.-based real estate research firm. Since last spring, condo values have also dropped slightly more than local home values, according to the data.

Just 59 new condos were sold in Baltimore City and Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford and Howard counties during the second quarter, down from 303 in the same quarter last year.

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In the first quarter, a net of just 13 condos were sold in the metro area, and Baltimore City reported new condo sales of -119, which Delta attributed to cancellations of contracts already signed.

For the year ending June 30, 109 new condos were sold, down 90 percent from 1,101 in the 12 months ending June 30, 2007, according to Delta’s figures.

Condo resales are on pace for a 50 percent decline this year, according to the data. Through May 31, 919 condo resales were reported in the metro region, an average of 184 per month. But last year, 3,237 resales were reported, an average of 270 per month.

Median resale prices in the Baltimore area fell 4.7 percent in May to $225,214 from $236,223 during the same month a year ago.

“They’re not immune to the rest of the market,” said David Martz, a Realtor with Long and Foster Fells Point specializing in condos. “To me, except for the [condo] fee, there’s no difference between a condo resale and a regular town home resale.”

By comparison, metro-area home prices fell 1.14 percent in May and sales volume was down 30.4 percent from the same month a year before, according to data gathered by Realtor-owned Metropolitan Regional Information Systems. MRIS data include condo sales as well as single-family sales.

But Delta’s numbers, especially the number of contracts broken, are reported by the condo developers themselves and so could be suspect, said Ross Mackesey, sales manager with Coldwell Bank Federal Hill who has represented about 50 condo projects.

He said the numbers could also be unintentionally skewed by new, large developments such as those in Harbor East throwing many units on the market at once.

“The Baltimore condo market is finite enough that we can actually look at Delta’s numbers and pin down events that skewed them,” Mackesey said. “But that doesn’t mean year-over-year [numbers] ... don’t have some validity.”

acahall@baltimoreexaminer.com

Condos sales by the numbers

New condo sales

                                        Baltimore City        Northern Suburbs        Southern Suburbs        Total

2nd Q 2008                        9                                23                                            27                       59

1st Q 2008                        119                            122                                          10                       13

12 months - 6/30/08        70                              107                                        72                        59

12 months - 6/30/07        289                            630                                        182                      1,101

Median condo resale prices

                                    May 2008        May 2007        % change

Baltimore City            $214,500        $213,500        0.5

Baltimore                    $199,900        $211,295        -5.4

Harford                        $185,000        $181,000        2.2

Anne Arundel            $259,000        $269,900        -4.0

Howard                      $252,500        $257,000        -1.8

Metro area avg.         $225,214        $236,223        -4.7

Condo resale volume

                                    Condo Unit            Condo Unit

                                    Resales, 2007      Resales, YTD though 5/31/08

Baltimore City            412                            116

Baltimore                    859                            270

Harford                        346                            119

Anne Arundel              933                            241

Howard                        687                            173

Metro area avg.           3,237                        919

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