Steinmetz: Wild West could leave Warriors waiting
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Can Warriors fans expect Baron Davis to stay healthy?
(Rocky Widner/ Getty Images)
Can Warriors fans expect Baron Davis to stay healthy?

SAN FRANCISCO (Map, News) - If there is a troubling aspect to this year’s Warriors season, it’s that thus far they are having a heck of a year but have little to show for it.

The Warriors entered Tuesday’s game against the Seattle Sonics 11 games over .500, which in past seasons would have Bay Area fans delirious with the team’s success. Any other year and the talk would be whether or not the Warriors could secure home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs.

Not this year. The Warriors are barely holding onto the eighth playoff spot in the brutal Western Conference, and it will likely be a very fidgety ride through mid-April.

When the season opened, it was logical to believe the Warriors could improve on last season’s 42 wins by a handful of games or so. Forty-four or 45 seemed realistic. A few more than that would be a very nice year.

Yet so far, the Warriors have exceeded expectations. They are on pace to win 50 games. But here we are in late February and the playoffs are anything but assured. There’s consternation instead of joy.

For the Warriors to make the postseason, they’re going to have to keep it up — not simply go .500 for the rest of the season, not just take care of home games. They’re going to have to keep winning three out of every five games, with or without Yao Ming’s injury.

Question is: Can they?

The Warriors have essentially the same team as a year ago — minus Jason Richardson — but have a much better record than they did this time last season (26-29). That’s pretty remarkable if you think about it. Can they keep it up?

The answer here is that the Warriors can, but only if good health and some bench production accompany them.

Scary as it is, the Warriors have not had a significant injury. In fact, they’ve been downright fortunate when it comes to roster availability. For all those who lamented last year that the Warriors could never get whole, there is no such issue this season.

Stephen Jackson missed seven games early but that was because of suspension, not injury. He missed two games before the Seattle game with an ankle injury. Baron Davis, whose durability always seems to be a topic of conversation, hasn’t missed a game.

Davis has played in 83 consecutive games for the Warriors (last year’s playoffs included), his longest uninterrupted streak since 2001-02. Monta Ellis has missed just one game, and Andris Biedrins missed only his second game of the season Tuesday night.

In other words, the Warriors’ four most important players have missed a combined five games this season because of injury.

The Warriors also have won consistently this season despite subpar bench play. Matt Barnes and Mickael Pietrus, two key role players in 2006-07, are having poor seasons.

In a perfect world, or at least one in which the 16 best NBA teams would make the playoffs, coach Don Nelson would be figuring out how to rest his stars as the Warriors plow through to the No. 4 seed.

Instead, Nelson is going to have to demand big minutes from Davis, Jackson and Ellis and get way more help from peripheral players from here on out. Problem is, that still might not be enough.

Matt Steinmetz is the NBA insider for Warriors telecasts on Fox Sports Net.


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6:54 PM MST on Thu., Jul. 24, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Playoffs still in reach despite losing Davis"

Examiner Reader said:
Matt-- If the Warrior's competition won't win as many games because many teams have improved, doesn't that make it together for the Warrior's to get as many wins also?

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9:40 AM MST on Sun., Jul. 20, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: The good, bad and ugly of the NBA offseason"

Examiner Reader said:
Matt, the Warriors could be a lot better this year. They have some young players that are due to have breakout years, like Beleneli, Wright, and this new kid Randolph. Last season I though the Warriors gave too many minutes to players like Barnes, Croshere, and even Kelena Abuzuke, who played just fair. The Warriors future is these young guys. While the loss of Baron hurts, the team will be awfully potent next season offensively. With Monta, Magette, Jackson, and hopefully Beleneli they will be shooting the lights out this season. The Warriors will be a better rebounding team too. You seem to have little confidence these young players will step up. Basketball belongs to the young guys coming up, not aging veterans.

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5:15 PM MST on Mon., Jul. 7, 2008 re: "Walcoff: Warriors wise to let Baron fly south"

Examiner Reader said:
My only problem is, if he planned to go he could have allowed GS to use the trade clause giving the team a chance to use it.

2 agree | 2 disagree
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1:14 PM MST on Sat., Jul. 5, 2008 re: "Walcoff: Warriors wise to let Baron fly south"

Examiner Reader said:
Rich Walcoff: Warriors wise to let Baron fly south You hit the nail right on the head, Richie, in every way. Kudos.

2 agree | 2 disagree
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3:56 PM MST on Thu., Jul. 3, 2008 re: "Walcoff: Warriors wise to let Baron fly south"

Examiner Reader said:
i can see why you dont write for the chroicle

3 agree | 3 disagree
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11:17 AM MST on Mon., Jun. 30, 2008 re: "‘One-and-dones’ hurting the game"

noah said:
So, we're going to require all basketball playing college freshmen to sign a contract promising to stay in college for two years? It seems very unlikely that such a contract provision would be enforceable, at least absent collective bargaining.

3 agree | 2 disagree
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6:25 AM MST on Fri., Jun. 27, 2008 re: "Donte hoping to see NBA Greene"

Examiner Reader said:
"It was tough for me growing up in the streets"..... Yeh, I'd like to hear that on tape. Never, ever, ever believe what you read without a sense of humor and pity for the angle the reporters are going for. The boy is educated, polite, and has always been far from the streets... Except, apparently, for the day this interview happened.... Good lord....

4 agree | 5 disagree
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9:45 AM MST on Wed., Apr. 30, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Lucky Jazz, sorry Mavs"

Examiner Reader said:
So a week ago you state "Do you still think the Rockets are better without Yao Ming?" Yet in todays trash from you you state they go backwards when he comes back. Please tell me you don't get paid for this

10 agree | 8 disagree
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8:01 AM MST on Wed., Apr. 30, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: West's dominance won't last"

Examiner Reader said:
so are all comments that disagree with the article deleted? Doesnt matter, you lost all your credibility when you said Josh Howard was the best player on the mavs. I'm still rolling on the floor over that one.

9 agree | 7 disagree
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7:15 AM MST on Wed., Apr. 30, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: West's dominance won't last"

Examiner Reader said:
What you are forgetting is the play of Houston's rookies down the stretch. Add Yao into that mix with Scola and Landry with a year under their belt. Houston is a contender - I cannot see how you say a team will go backwards when you get the most dominant inside presence back in the line-up.

9 agree | 7 disagree
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2:43 PM MST on Thu., Apr. 24, 2008 re: "Warriors’ worriers missing the point"

Yinka Dare said:
Actually, Matt, David West played all of 111 minutes in a first-round playoff loss in '04. He is a stranger to the playoffs. Does experience count when you have only experienced losing? Why hate on the Toronto/Orlando series starring two of the league's best young bigs, instead of, say, the Hawks/Celts or Pistons/Sixers?

8 agree | 8 disagree
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11:18 AM MST on Thu., Mar. 27, 2008 re: "Warriors’ worriers missing the point"

Examiner Reader said:
"True, the Warriors have yet to lock up a playoff berth, but that is something that is outside of their control." Outside of their control? Isn't it completely in their control? Steinmetz is unbelievable.

12 agree | 9 disagree
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3:17 PM MST on Wed., Mar. 19, 2008 re: "Warriors’ worriers missing the point"

Examiner Reader said:
nellie needs to give his bench more playing time and believe in them more. he doesnt have to ride his starters for 40 minutes when the bench is very capable. Lastly, why didnt he leave the same lineup in that got them back within 6 points of the kings?? It was an off night for Jackson and Davis. A comeback was killed off and much need rest for your starters was lost.

14 agree | 15 disagree
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11:31 PM MST on Mon., Mar. 10, 2008 re: "Frantz: Mullin, Warriors leave well enough alone"

Steve in Concord said:
Perovic just recalled from D-league after avg. 18 rebounds and 35 minutes in two games. Significant?

11 agree | 11 disagree
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9:02 AM MST on Mon., Mar. 10, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Anatomy of a turnaround"

Examiner Reader said:
yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay warriors will win it all this year

12 agree | 11 disagree
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9:41 PM MST on Tue., Feb. 26, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Who’s for real in crowded West?"

Examiner Reader said:
Hi, Could you please ask Don Nelson why he isn't playing Kosta Perovic?? It's really puzzling. When Kosta came into the game in Milwaukee, he dominated Andrew Bogut. Kosta looks a lot more agile than he's been given credit for and he sure can cover a lot of ground. When the Milwaukee guards were driving towards the basket they thought twice when they saw Kosta's huge presence in the lane and instead kicked it out to Bogut who Perovic got to with 2 large ground covering steps, just enough to disturb Bogut's release point so he missed. Plus, Perovic has professional experience, so he knows what it's like to go up against older guys. Kosta also looks stronger than Brandon and Patrick. I just wish he'd reward Kosta for his impressive defense against Milwaukee. Thank you!

38 agree | 46 disagree
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1:30 PM MST on Wed., Feb. 20, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Who’s for real in crowded West?"

timgreen79 said:
I know we shouldn't sleep on the Spurs but I think they'll probably have too tough of a road if their record doesn't get better. As a 5 seed they'd play (in current standings): 1st - Utah on road, 2nd - Hornets on Road, 3rd - Lakers or Suns on road. Wow. They have experience on their side but will miss the athleticism and depth that the Suns and Lakers have. (That is if they could even get by Utah)

49 agree | 39 disagree
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1:26 PM MST on Wed., Feb. 20, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Who’s for real in crowded West?"

Bob said:
Good point that we need to wait 20-25 games to evaluate Shaq. Personally I think Phoenix is going to drop in terms of overall record (because their SOS gets tougher), but then will come on in the playoffs. Which really is the only point of the Shaq experiment.

51 agree | 46 disagree
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5:36 PM MST on Mon., Feb. 18, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Anti-All-Stars"

Matt (SF) said:
I just posted a comment a few hours ago that was removed. Am I being censored? All I said was that the inclusion of Turkoglu and Noah in this article makes no sense. Steinmetz doesn't know what he's talking about - Hedo's having a great year and Noah has been above average. So why put them on your hate list, Matt? Please censor this comment again. I'm watching.

52 agree | 46 disagree
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4:03 PM MST on Mon., Feb. 18, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Anti-All-Stars"

J Barnett said:
I know Matt can't write but he was a quality baller for F&M College. And he's quite handsome in person.

54 agree | 49 disagree
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4:00 PM MST on Mon., Feb. 18, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Anti-All-Stars"

Ben R said:
I've already come up with the best solution to problem that is Matt Steinmetz, don't read the column. Go Lakers.

55 agree | 53 disagree
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3:51 PM MST on Mon., Feb. 18, 2008 re: "Steinmetz: Anti-All-Stars"

Caleb B said:
How can you have an anti-NBA player list without including the likes of Stephan Marbury? I can't figure out the pattern in your list but Francis should be given a pass - he's injured and playing for cheap. And Hinrich? He's on team USA. Lot's of former and current knicks made your Top 15. About the only thing I agree with.

62 agree | 68 disagree
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