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Washington, D.C. (Map, News) - Democrats in Congress appear determined to force a showdown with President Bush this week on the budget, daring him to veto their $520 billion omnibus spending bill with funding for all major federal departments and agencies, plus token funding for U.S. troops in Iraq and Afghanistan.
This has "bad plan" written all over it because it puts Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in a losing position eerily similar to that in which then-Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole and new House Speaker Newt Gingrich found themselves with Bill Clinton in 1995.
A decade ago, it was a GOP Congress that wanted historic spending reductions and the beginning of a massive reorganization of the federal government to make it leaner and more efficient.
That's what voters had endorsed in the November 1994 election by throwing out the Democrats who had ruled Congress for four decades. Or so thought Gingrich and others in the GOP's insurgent class of 1994.
But Clinton out-maneuvered Gingrich and Dole, using a veto, a take-no-prisoners attitude behind the scenes, and adroitly posing in public as just trying to keep those Social Security and Medicare checks flowing to people in need.
Clinton was further boosted when the mainstream media unflatteringly portrayed Gingrich and Dole in petty terms regarding their seating positions on Air Force One as members of the U.S. delegation to the funeral of slain Israeli Prime Minister Yihtzak Rabin.
This time around it's Democrats in Congress daring a Republican chief executive to veto their bill, which is based on their vision of increased federal spending and higher taxes that they think voters endorsed last November in voting the Republicans out of power.
But like Clinton in 95, Bush made it clear Saturday through Jim Nussle, his Office of Management and Budget Director, that he will veto a "budget-busting bill" that exceeds his recommended spending levels.
That $520 billion omnibus spending bill the Democrats are preparing for Bush certainly qualifies as a budget buster because, according to Nussle, "it would include 18 billion in additional domestic and emergency spending above the President's budget. When added to emergency domestic spending Congress already included in the Defense appropriations bill, this so-called compromise would result in more excess spending than even the Democrats' original budget included."
Yesterday, Reid and Pelosi all but challenged Bush to veto the expected bill, which they said "would fund critical priorities such as border security, homeland security, and putting more police officers on the street."
That's the language of somebody who expects a veto and wants to define how its consequences will be viewed. And given the likelihood that the mainstream media will report the aftermath of a Bush veto that way, Reid and Pelosi may succeed in forcing him to blink first.
There are two major differences between 1995 and 2007, however, Iraq and earmarks. Clinton didn't have a costly war to worry about then. Yet public dissatisfaction with Bush on Iraq certainly contributed to the Democrats return to congressional power this year.
But more recently things have turned around somewhat in Bush's favor compared to last November thanks to the success of the U.S. military surge. So Reid and Pelosi may be risking their veto gamble on a mis-reading of the public mood on Iraq, just as Gingrich and Dole erred in thinking voters who loved the Contract with America would also support a government shutdown.
Nobody had ever heard of earmarks in 1995, but another major part of the Democrats' victory in the most recent election was attributable to public disgust with the spending waste and corruption epitomized by the "Bridge to Nowhere."
Democrats are extremely vulnerable here because their earmark reform promises have been mostly window dressing, a fact which has not been lost on the public that has given historically low approval ratings to Congress lately.
In other words, Bush can win by making good on his threat with what would be the mother of all spending bill vetoes, then claiming it's not really about those "critical priorities" noted by Reid and Pelosi, it's about keeping the Democrats' pork barrel flowing.
Besides, Bush won't be on the ballot next time around, but the Democratic majority in Congress will be, so what's he got to lose?
Mark Tapscott is editorial page editor of The Washington Examiner.



Comments from Examiner Readers
3:08 PM MST on Tue., Mar. 25, 2008 re: "Is the welcome mat really welcome?"
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4:53 PM MST on Fri., Feb. 8, 2008
re: "Quin-essential Cases: Immunity Request Is No Phone-y Plea"
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re: "Under Real ID, privacy will be nonexistent"
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8:46 PM MST on Fri., Aug. 10, 2007
re: "Is it "pay for play" time in Spitzer's New York?"
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2:44 PM MST on Fri., Aug. 10, 2007
re: "Is it "pay for play" time in Spitzer's New York?"
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Examiner Reader said:
Hey to all reactionary idiots: how about you move NORTH of the mexican border? You know, the one that runs through 2 california, along n mexico and arizona, and down throu east texas? and lets not forget the hispanic carribean nation on florida. how is it puerto rico is "u.s." but other central americans are "illegals"?
2 agree | 3 disagree
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dan of steele said:
So in simple terms, the republican stance is that telecoms are to be allowed to break the law without consequence and that the government should be allowed to continue to spy on us without a warrant. all the crap about terrorists is just smoke....right?
88 agree | 84 disagree
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lorin mccann said:
Wonder what happends when the computer goes down???
101 agree | 79 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
Anyone who understands how government operates can foresee how REAL ID will be used against law-abiding citizens instead of terrorists. Recall that the Social Security Number was never intended to be used as an all-purpose identifier. The Federal income tax was originally going to apply only to the super-rich, and take less than 10 percent. Give government an inch and they take a mile. Ms. Scarborough has it exactly right. The government scares people and claims it needs this new infringement on privacy to fight the trrists, but eventually the REAL ID will be used to, as she says, "ground" adults over child support or library fines. That sounds like Orwellian hell to me. Did we really fight a World War against the Nazis, and a Cold War against the Soviets, only to adopt the kind of police-state people control mechanism that made us hate and fear totalitarian societies? Frankly, that scares me a lot more than the slim possibility of terrorism.
106 agree | 71 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
I totally agree with this article. History keeps repeating itself. Having to show papers or be tracked is against everything America stands for - individual rights and liberties.
102 agree | 65 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
With IHS (Intelligent Highway System) your current RFID drivers license and RFID inspection stickers are read as you drive down the highways. Watch for two hexagons cut into each line like at stop lights and a metal box usually on a pole at the side of the road. They have fiber, telephone and radio relay of data.
106 agree | 74 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
I totally agree with this article...I'm glad to see this info. being disseminated in mainstream venues. As for "tired's" rant, this law should be examined in a historical context and to minimize the similarities that exist between the beginnings of Nazi Germany and what is going on now is naive at best, fascist propaganda at worst.
93 agree | 85 disagree
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USN said:
Welcome to Amerika?? That's about as far as I got with your article. It’s childish and it’s usually leftists who do this.
97 agree | 107 disagree
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TERRY AGHEE said:
And tell us Melanie, just how are you going to keep our children and our grandkids safe? What exactly is your plan? You see to think that there is absolutely no difficulty with terrorists anymore - does that mean that you will just forget about illegal aliens and armed therrorists? Will you sleep well now?
95 agree | 77 disagree
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Tired of all the ACLU lies about REAL ID said:
Your columnist either hasn't done her homework (read the final Rule or the Driver Privacy Protection Act--fed. law) or she's bought into that bunch of lies being circulated by the ACLU. REAL ID will require background checks on all DMV employees-getting rid of the bad apples up front will increase privacy protections, not decrease them.And as for the info. encoded on the mag stripe/barcode--check your facts,MD and a lot of other states do that already.The info is the same as on the face of the DL-its a security feature against tampering.It's no diff. than copying the info off the front of a DL-same info. Anyone who has a commercial DL knows the DMV already checks to see if you have a CDL in any other state. It's a pointer system--what REAL ID will have--not an open database. REAL ID is far from perfect but it's not the privacy monster the ACLU wants us to believe.Oh, & fed. law lets states suspend DLs of deadbeats who don't pay child support. Do you have a problem w/that too, Mel
102 agree | 89 disagree
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David of NM said:
What a great article. It is somewhat encouraging to me that more people seem to be getting wise to the dangerous REAL ID Act. The writer wrote mostly about privacy,security and expansion concerns and not so much about cost concerns. The real problems with REAL ID are not cost related. I keep writing my representatives, asking for repeal, but I get a canned Republican National Committee instead. The Republicans are largely the drivers of REAL ID. Rep. Sensenbrenner R-WI seized on the 9/11 Commission report that called for more secure licenses. He authored the abomination called the REAL ID Act of 2005 so he could come out of obscurity and be a legislative superstar. Today, Sensenbrenner refers to REAL ID as "his baby". DIGIMARC Corp. of Oregon has contributed much money to be used for grants to States for the purpose of softening opposition to REAL ID. DIGIMARC, a worldwide company selling National ID card making equipment and related services stands to make millions off REAL ID
115 agree | 79 disagree
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an irate citizen because of an irate citizen said:
Yeah this country was founded by immigrants, and the only reason why there is such an outcry to stop it, is because now we're getting the kind we don't want. The kind with brown skin. Stolen social security benefits? I don't think so. If an immigrant used a stolen social security number to get a job, they're paying taxes too and rarely if ever redeem benefits for fear of getting caught. Cockroaches (usually a racial slur),shoot to kill? Wow,let me know how the next klan meeting goes.
187 agree | 177 disagree
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reader said:
"even the best national policies won't work if local governments undermine them. And for years, some governments have been doing all they could to thwart federal immigration policy." - No duh...
179 agree | 210 disagree
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An Irate Citizen said:
This Country was started by immigrants from the United Kingdom and Europe and has subsequently always welcomed legal immigration. However, in our recent history we have been beseiged by people who simply crawl over our borders like cockroaches. These borders should be patrolled by soldiers who have the authority to shoot to kill anyone who tries to enter the country illegally. Also those who are here and who are not here legally should be rounded up and immediately deported. No "ifs, ands or buts" about it. Amongst other things, the illegals are stealing our social security benefits and ruining our health care system. It can not continue. I plead with all of you to contact your representatives in Congress and any presidential candidate you're supporting and tell them you want action and that you want action now. Please do this today if you love your family and you love your country.
209 agree | 223 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
When Spitzer was AG of New York he carefully target his prosecutions of Wall Street and the Insurance industry. Those not targeted soon got the message that they were to pay up campaign contributions or else. Spitzer ran the New York AG's office like a gangster and it seems he runs the governor's office like a gangster too.
271 agree | 285 disagree
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Examiner Reader said:
FWIW, the Neighborhood Preservation PAF is the rent stabilized apartment owners PAC many of whom *hate* Spitzer.
265 agree | 273 disagree
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