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David Pinto

Baseball Examiner
David Pinto worked for ten years as the chief researcher for ESPN’s Baseball Tonight. Starting in 2002, David brought his research and insights to a wider audience through his blog, Baseball Musings.
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    Manny at 500

    POSTED June 1, 9:35 AM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
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    Manny Ramirez became the latest player of his generation to reach 500 home runs and the 24th overall.  There are now nine players whose careers started in the mid 1980s or later who reached this milestone.  Congratulations to Manny on his achievement!

    The next question becomes, how high can he go?  Manny's seasonal age is 36, and his skills as a batter started to diminish in 2007.  It was the first year his slugging percentage fell below .500 since his cup of coffee in 1993.  His playing time dropped in 2006, with Manny losing about 30 games to injury in both 2006 and 2007.

    Prior to this season, Manny went through an intense training regimen.  The result so far is a slugging percentage up 8 points and an OBA down 19 points.  In other words, the falloff we saw from Manny in 2007 appears to be real.  What has improved is Manny's ability to stay in the lineup, as he's played 54 of the Red Sox 58 games.

    So it looks like Manny's new home run level is somewhere between 20 and 30 home runs a year, probably 25 on average.  Even with his performance falling, Manny's coming off such a high level that he'll continue to be valuable for a few more years.  That means he'll keep playing.

    I don't know if it will be with the Red Sox, however.  One thing that's helping Manny's cause right now is the large per year contracts given to Hunter and Andruw Jones.  Given the relative performance, Manny's $20 million options don't look so  bad.  It could be the Red Sox want to spend that money long term, however.  It's interesting that now that the option is near, Manny wants to stay in Boston and loves the Red Sox fans, etc.

    Does he have four more years of 25 home runs in him?  I'd say the odds are good.  I'd expect him to pass Sosa, but not get to Mays.

     


    Topics: Baseball , Milestones , Red Sox , Manny Ramirez

    More from Baseball Examiner

    NL East race

    POSTED September 4, 5:18 PM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    The NL East race once again sees the Mets in a September lead with the Phillies trying to catch them. Unlike 2007, however, it was the Mets who overcame the big lead this season, as New York was 7 1/2 out after the games of June 13. Here's how the two... Read More
    Topics: Division Races

    NL West race

    POSTED September 3, 4:34 PM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Photo: Icon SMIThe NL West race involves two teams separated by 1 1/2 games entering Wednesday. Here's how the two teams stand in terms of major statistics:2008 (NL Ranks)DiamondbacksDodgersRuns per Game4.59 (9th)4.16 (13th)OBA.326 (9th).327 (8th)Slug..415... Read More
    Topics: Division Races

    AL Central race

    POSTED September 2, 6:04 PM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Twins Vs. White SoxPhoto: Icon SMIThe AL Central is the tightest of the division races, with the Twins and White Sox sporting identical 77-60 records. Here's how the two teams stand in terms of major statistics:2008 (AL Ranks)TwinsWhite SoxRuns per Game5.09... Read More
    Topics: Division Races

    Walk off walks

    POSTED August 31, 11:24 AM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Aaron HeilmanPhoto: Icon SMIWith the score tied in the bottom of the ninth against Florida on Saturday, a lead-off walk by Aaron Heilman led to a runner on third with one out after a sacrifice and a wild pitch. At that point, Heilman issued two intentional... Read More
    Topics: Pitchers

    Requiem for the Yankees

    POSTED August 28, 8:51 AM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Sidney Ponson fails to stop the Red Sox Wednesday night.Photo: AP Photo/Frank Franklin IIThe Red Sox defeated the Yankees 11-3 Wednesday night, pushing New York seven games back in the wild card standings and for all intents and purposes ending the chance... Read More
    Topics: Teams

    Rockies Repeating?

    POSTED August 27, 8:50 AM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    The Colorado Rockies defeated the Giants Tuesday night 7-2. Coupled with a bad outing by Brandon Webb leading to a 9-2 San Diego win over Arizona, the Rockies find themselves six games out of first place. With nine wins in their last eleven games, including... Read More
    Topics: Division Races

    Bad year for sabermetric teams

    POSTED August 22, 6:44 PM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Manny Acta argues with Rob Drake.Photo: Icon SMIMy comment about Manny Acta at MetsBlog.com drew this response from Peter Gammons:Manny Acta is a sabermetrics student and the only manager who ever dropped a VORP on me. He has the worst team in baseball.That... Read More
    Topics: Teams

    Cleveland's superstars

    POSTED August 21, 4:44 PM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Cleveland's two best players came through today in a 10-3 win over the Royals. Cliff Lee won game number 18. He gave up two earned runs in seven innings. He allowed eight base runners, but induced four double plays to remove half of them. Lee is now... Read More
    Topics: Awards , Teams

    Nolasco's complete game

    POSTED August 20, 8:10 AM
    David Pinto - Baseball Examiner
    Ricky Nolasco took home a little extra money Tuesday night:Ricky Nolasco won a pot of cash for his first career complete game - thanks to the Marlins' nearly two-year drought without a pitcher going the distance.Nolasco pitched a two-hitter for his first... Read More
    Topics: Pitchers

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