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David Pinto

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David Pinto worked for ten years as the chief researcher for ESPN’s Baseball Tonight. Starting in 2002, David brought his research and insights to a wider audience through his blog, Baseball Musings.

  

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The Interleague Test

May 16, 9:11 AM
by David Pinto, Baseball Examiner
 
 
With fourteen interleague games today we'll get a test of the relative strength of the two leagues.  Here's how offenses look through intraleague play on Thursday:

2008ALNL
Runs per Game4.344.63
Batting Average.258.260
On-Base Average.328.334
Slugging Percentage.392.409

My theory is that the NL is better because they developed better, younger batters.  Some in the comments here have suggested the NL is better because the AL owns better pitchers.  Others suggested the AL recently incorporated more glove men into their lineup.  How can we tell?

The situation is of course, complicated.  All of these factors might be true.  If AL pitchers are better than NL pitchers, and there really is no difference in batters, then we should see AL scoring rise and NL scoring fall, adjusting for the DH (or lack thereof).  If NL batters are truly better than AL batters, then we should see AL runs allowed s rise, and NL allowed fall on a per game basis.

There's also the possibility that AL pitchers are better than NL pitchers, and AL batters are worse than NL batters.  This is a tough case, because we might not see any change here at all as things even out.

The possibility exists of AL pitchers and batters being better than NL pitchers and batters.  In that case, the AL pitchers should be greatly superior, since they are holding better batters to fewer runs.  In that case, we should see AL scoring go up and NL scoring go down.  That would be a very strange result.

This weekend won't be enough to tell, since teams might be pitted against an opponent that is good at neutralizing the other's strength.  That won't stop us from at least taking a look at how things turned out on Monday.


Topics: Baseball , Pitchers , Offense , American League , National League , Interleague
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