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Jay McDonough

Progressive Politics Examiner
Jay began writing politically themed commentary and founded his blog, Swimming Freestyle, in October 2007. Here he'll write about politics from a progressive perspective.

  

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Showing entries for Category: Gasoline-pricing


Gasoline Price Elasticity (Or Lack Thereof)

May 14, 5:22 PM
 
 
As demand is decreasing, prices are rising.  Huh?

After last year’s stellar profits, American refiners are going through a traumatic period. In a time of record gasoline prices, some of them actually lost money in the first quarter, and for virtually all refiners, profits are down sharply.

Experts say the refiners are caught in a double bind. The price of their raw material, oil, is rising because of strong global demand. At the same time, consumption of gasoline in the United States is falling as a result of slower economic growth and consumer efforts to conserve.

However much the companies would like to raise gasoline prices enough to pass along the full increases in oil, analysts say they have been unable to do it. Oil prices doubled in the past year, while wholesale gasoline prices rose a mere 39 percent.

The rising oil prices have led to a sharp drop in refining profit margins, or the difference between the cost of oil and the cost of gasoline. These margins, at $12.45 a barrel on average, are 60 percent below their year-ago level, and in the lower half of their five-year range, according to a report by UBS.

In response to falling gasoline demand and rising costs, refiners have cut their production rates. Refining utilization rates, for example, slumped to a low of 81.4 percent in the second week of April, compared with 90.4 percent at the same time last year. Earlier this month, refineries were running at 85 percent of their capacity. (Link)

The article makes a distinction between large, integrated oil companies like Exxon Mobil that have announced record profits and the kind of stand alone refiners referenced here who buy oil, refine and resell.

If the trend continues, some consolidation in the industry wouldn't be a big surprise.  But, in any event, this doesn't bode well for decreasing gas prices any time soon.

Topics: Gasoline pricing , price elasticity
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