![]() I did a radio interview this morning on Minneapolis home prices on WCCO-AM radio. Here are the highlights:
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I spent most of the week discussing home prices on TV and radio -- over 20 million listeners and viewers heard Zillow's take on housing prices in the last few days. I shared some of my observations about these interviews over on my Active Rain blog -- here's the post about housing prices. |
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Zillow (my company) has just released their 1st Quarter Home Value Report which paints a grim picture of housing trends nationwide. A few of the highlights (or lowlights):
Here are some incredible images of US home prices, and here is more data than you can shake a for sale sign at:
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Zillow released our Q1 Home Value report tonight. I'll blog about the findings tomorrow when I have time, but I wanted to give you a heads-up that our head of analytics (Dr. Stan Humphries) is hosting a conference call on May 6 @ 11am PDT to discuss home values. If you're a housing data junkie, you should tune in: Dr. Stan Humphries of Zillow will host a conference call this Tuesday, May 6 at 11 a.m. PDT/2 p.m. EDT. To participate, dial 800-218-0713. To download call-related slides, visit the Zillow Press Room at http://zillow.mediaroom.com
Note: This call is mostly for media. There will be another call in a few weeks geared more towards real estate professionals. But feel free to join tomorrow's call if you'd like. |
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There has been a lot of ink spilled and keystrokes typed about the wave of adjustable rate mortgages ("ARMs") which are resetting in 2008 and 2009. The concern has been that as these ARMs reset, homeowner's mortgage rates will go up, thus worsening the credit crunch. I started warning about the problem of ARM resets as far back as March 2006. So what has happened? Well, the results haven't been as bad as expected - yet. This San Francisco Chronicle article does a good job of explaining the issue. Look at my own mortgage as a valid case study though. I had a 3/1 ARM which just passed three years last month, so it was time for the reset. The terms of my loan called for a 2.75% margin on top of "LIBOR" (which is closely related to the "Federal Funds Rate" which is what the Federal Reserve Board controls.) I started paying attention to the issue over a year ago, and kept my eye on LIBOR, wondering how much my 5% interest rate might change upon reset. Last month when the day of reckoning came, interest rates were so low that my interest rate actually dropped when the ARM reset -- 2.75% margin on top of a 2% LIBOR => 4.75% interest rate. Crisis averted, right? Wrong. Crisis postponed. The problem is that this new rate is only good for another year, at which time interest rates might be a lot higher and the new reset might drive my rates way up. So the prudent thing to do would be to refi now and lock in a low rate for a longer period of time. Still, I'm grateful that my interest rates didn't go up (at least not this year) despite my ARM reset. |

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