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Republican renaissance is up for debate
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Does America have a Republican Renaissance?
Today the Washington Post asked such a question online (full transcript here).
Mark Twain famously said that reports of his death were greatly exaggerated. This can be said one year ago almost to the day that the death of the Grand Old Party was imminent if not immediate.
Tuesday’s gubernatorial elections prove otherwise with Governors-elect McDonnell and Christie in Virginia and New Jersey respectively winning handsomely.
The Commonwealth is just over one election but now eyes the next: 2010 otherwise known as the mid terms. The Democrats will be defending their 6-5 majority in Virginia’s delegates to the U.S. House of Representatives.
Two of these Democrats are vulnerable; Tom Perriello of the 5th District and Glenn Nye in the 2nd.
Commentators, however, warn not to read too much into Tuesday’s results. Former Congressman Tom Davis from North Virginia says “While there may be a desire to extrapolate the events of November 3 2009 into a prediction of what will happen on November 2 2010 that is impossible.”
Jesse Ferguson who is a regional spokesman from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee says “Trying to infer a fact pattern from the result of one election is a mistake.”
Both New Jersey and the Commonwealth were Democratic last year and the Team Obama machine seemed unstoppable. This, however, was before ‘tea parties’ and ‘town halls’ whereby the citizenry manifested their discontent around the country as to the direction of the nation with big government, increased taxes and government infringement and the socialization of health care at the top of the agenda.
So, are the elections of McDonnell and Christie just the regular off-year blip? Or do we look back to 1993 as a harbinger of what we can expect next year? Newt Gingrich and company rolled into power in the Congress with the ‘Contract of America’ after the successes of George Allen and Christine Todd Whitman in Virginia and New Jersey respectively.
The key is independents. If the Democrats are to make gains next year they need to restore faith with those voters who voted Obama last year and either stayed home or voted for McDonnell or Christie. This is their key to any form of comeback. McDonnell won 62 per cent of the independent vote on Tuesday contrasting with 37 per cent for his opponent.
Governor Tim Kaine who is also the chair of the Democratic National Committee said this weekend with regard to the independent vote “We have to scrutinize that carefully. I don’t think either party can any longer take Virginia for granted.”
He should know.
More About:
Tea Party ·
Governor ·
Tim Kaine ·
Bob McDonnell ·
Creigh Deeds ·
McDonnell ·
Deeds ·
Richmond ·
Republican ·
Michael Steele ·
Kaine ·
Northern Virginia ·
2012 ·
1012 president
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