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Tropics: "Danny" forms near Bahamas


National Hurricane Center graphic 

UPDATE: The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on T.S. "Danny" on the morning of August 26th. The system still has a ragged appearance, but did have maxiumum sustained winds of 45mph. It is moving WNW and is expected to gradually curve to the north.  

Forecast to become a hurricane, but given the shear expected along its path, probably not a major one. The storm's expected track (map) will require a vigil along the U.S. eastern seaboard this weekend.

Tropical Storm “Danny” may be brewing east of the Bahamas. Air Force Reconnaissance found low pressure and lots of thunderstorms in the area Tuesday; if the low pressure becomes completely closed, then it would be classified as a tropical depression or tropical storm, depending on surface winds.

The National Hurricane Center says it has a greater than 50% of becoming a depression or storm. The influence of an upper low, which has been shearing the system, is decreasing.

If this area does develop it will likely track to the northwest and later to the north as another unseasonably deep upper trough dives into the eastern U.S. this week. It would eventually recurve out to sea, but would this be before or after it hits land? And, will it be strong enough to even be a problem?

Of course the situation will continue to evolve as this system takes shape, but there’s certainly some chance a tropical storm or hurricane named “Danny could affect the Atlantic seaboard.

This area of disturbed weather is given a "high chance" to develop into a tropical depression or storm by Thursday afternoon.

 

 

 
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Dallas Weather Examiner

Texas A&M graduate with degree in meteorology (1985), 24 years broadcast experience, four-time award winner for weather-casting excellence, AMS...

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