Meteorologist Rich Apuzzo
As if we haven’t seen enough of cool weather and summer storms, we have plenty more of both on the way, and July 2009 will likely be the coldest on record in the Cincinnati Tri-State! As I look out the window and see the sunshine, I assume that I’ll be walking out into a warm, humid, typical summer afternoon in the Ohio Valley…but we have yet to record a normal or above-normal high temperature this month.
I know that some reading this will say that normals don’t mean much and that even if we’re just a couple of degrees from a normal high or low, that’s really a "normal" day. I agree on both counts because “normals” are just averages of extremes that are smoothed over time, and if the normal high is 85 but we only reach 83, that’s close enough…however, when you look at longer periods of time you need a baseline to determine if you’re above or below a certain norm, and that’s true in the stock market, retail sales, agriculture, etc. not just weather. In addition, even if you’re just a couple of degrees below normal, over time that adds up and by the end of the month you can be 60 degrees below normal (2 degrees per day). Now imagine that we’re 2 degrees below the average high and low every day of the month. It’s only 2 degrees, but that’s 4 degrees per day or 120 degrees below normal for the month (30 days). I think you see where I am going with this. If we’re seeing deficits of 5 to 10 degrees per day and the result becomes more impressive. In Cincinnati we’re running about 13 degrees per day below normal (almost 270 total degrees), and that’s cold for July. We’re currently in first place for the coldest July in Cincinnati history and there isn’t much in the future that will change the numbers before the end of the month.
Rainfall is another weather feature that has been prominent this summer, and after more than 7 inches in June, we’re running slightly below normal in July…though that is about to change. A large and deep low pressure system is building in Canada, replacing the first storm responsible for a push of colder air that broke more than 1000 records in the past week! The next storm will continue to push of unusually cool weather into the United States and we’ll have hundreds of new record cold temperatures from late this week into next week from the northern plains into the Midwest and Great Lakes. With the cool air pushing into warmer and more humid air across the plains and Deep South, areas of showers and thunderstorms will develop and as waves of low pressure focus the rainfall, we can expect locally heavy downpours and numerous severe storms across the plains, Midwest, Ohio Valley and southern states. I also expect to hear about flash flooding in many areas, especially in parts of the Ohio and Tennessee Valley where locally 2 to 5 inches of rain will fall over the next 5 days with another 2 to 5 inches next week in areas hit with the larger thunderstorms. There will also be numerous reports of tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds across the eastern 2/3 of the United States over the next 7 days.
The most amazing part of this cold and stormy pattern is its persistence. Just when it looks as if warmer air is trying to build into the northern plains, the Midwest and New England, clouds build, rain develops and seasonably cold air races southeast from Canada. It’s also impressive to see the size of these upper-level storm systems which cover literally thousands of square miles from northern Canada into the central and eastern United States! Because of their size and influence, you haven’t heard about the heat in Kansas, Oklahoma and most of Texas because it was literally blown out of there…and the cooler than normal June across the United States will be followed by a cooler than normal July for the nation as well…not for everyone, but as an average for the country as a whole.
Three more important updates: 1) there is NO tropical activity in the Atlantic Ocean and it’s likely that we’ll end July with no tropical storms…the second consecutive month of this hurricane season. The tropical cyclone energy around the globe is at a 50-year low and falling. 2) Noctilucent clouds continue to be photographed around the world as the upper atmosphere gets colder…and that’s not because of warming here on earth as some junk scientists proclaim. The upper atmosphere is colder because there are unusually low levels of energy hitting that area, and that’s number 3) the continued solar minimum, which has now beaten all earlier forecasts and there hasn’t been any sunspot activity that we can confirm with the upcoming Cycle 24. In fact, there have been no spots at all in 10 days!
With the quiet sun, the colder upper atmosphere, the thousands of records being set worldwide for low temperatures, the snow falling in some cities for the first time in nearly 90 years and increasing crop stress as failing summer heat takes its toll, the left is scared…and they should be. The global warming cult is about to disband and its followers will be scurrying to new “save-the-planet” agendas in the next few months. Have you heard that the chemical which replaced Freon (which never had an impact on ozone as claimed) is now being blamed for trapping heat here on earth? What heat?
These people have officially become laughable and will soon be pushed back into the cool, dark shadows…where they’ll wish they had some global warming. Here’s a thought, give science a try…
Rich Apuzzo
Chief Meteorologist
Skyeye Weather LLC
www.skyeyeweather.com
Comments
Is there any relationship between noctilucent formation and sunspots?
It is about time that the truth be known. With politicians ready to wreck the world economy on false science those that know better need to scream it loud and long. People need to relaize For ninety percent of the last million years, the normal state of the Earth's climate has been an ice age. Ice ages last about 100,000 years, and are punctuated by short periods of warm climate, or interglacials. The last ice age started about 114,000 years ago. It began instantaneously. For a hundred-thousand years, temperatures fell and sheets of ice a mile thick grew to envelop much of North America, Europe and Asia. The ice age ended nearly as abruptly as it began. Between about 12,000 and 10,000 years ago, the temperature in Greenland rose more than 50 °F. Earth's climate is controlled by the Sun. In comparison, every other factor is trivial. If you need to worry about something consider the slow start of Sun Spot Cycle 24 and its global implications.
Excellent presentation of facts and their effect on weather. I've also read that Nashville, TN, Al Gore's hometown, has also broken the record for the coldest day in July.
But, as we will hear ... the "recent temporary cold spell is caused by global warming."
Why isn't this serious cold spell throughout the country not getting big national news?
If its cooling its truth.
If its warming its a hoax.
Yet over the last 12000 years it is agreed that we are in an interglacial warming, yet the truth is its cooling.
Sometimes I think people cling to what they thought was correct, and will never change their mind.
I have thought things were warming because the way my bulbs keep coming up way too early, sometimes in mid-winter, then get burned by the next freeze.
Now I think that last winter was a reasonable winter, my pond froze for the first time, we skated, the bug population was killed off, and we had a good spring.
Now, in this cold summer, it worries me. Not because of the possibility that Al Gore was wrong, rather that there are serious mechanics with the sun that are only postulates today, and that this switch that sends the climate into chaos may be in the process of being thrown.
If we were heading into an abrupt ice age, would you want to know in advance?
There is no truth, just more data analysis.
Junk scientists? There is worldwide agreement that the stratosphere and mesosphere are cooling because of the increase in human-produced carbon dioxide. The effect of a greenhouse gas is to cool layers above it and warm layers below it. This is basic chemistry.
This month the U.S. Midwest and Northeast are running further below average than almost any place on Earth. This doesn't mean the entire planet is cooling. There will still be cool periods and warm periods, even as the Earth as a whole warms. Climate change doesn't eliminate weather.
Once again, someone comes on something like this and declares there is "worldwide agreement" on global warming. About the only thing there is worldwide agreement on is that the world is round. There are plenty of scientists on both sides of this argument. There is definitely not agreement on whether its human caused. And this garbage about using a particular weather feature to back an argument is used by the pro-global warming crowd all the time. We have a hurricane or a month of drought and its "oh look global warming". A couple years ago we were in the midst of a "catastrophic increase in tropical storm activity". Now we have had below average hurricane activity for multiple years in a row, there is evidence of cooling many places, and people just ignore it. They only see the signs of warming and ignore any signs that warming might be slowing.
It's amazing how many people think there is some scientific consensus about global warming based on a news show or documentary. There is a political consensus, among a certain political persuasion. Actual scientists are completely honest about the fact that Co2 has very little direct effect on climate. The Al-Gore type runaway warming that relies on simulated positive feedback loops is not something that is considered a likely scenario.
Everyone from the school teachers pushing this embarrassing point in history to Al Gore himself and yes the Pres should all be charged for leading the world to war against an invisible and now non existent enemy called Climate Change.
This liberal WMD scam will not go unpunished unlike the neocons.
There is a growing movement of real environmentalists to have Al Gore and those scientists involved with the global warming theory, charged with treason for leading our country to war against a non existent enemy. History will view Al Gore as the Bernie Madoff of climate change.
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