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NASA image of Hurricane Isabel
After roughly the past decade and a half, a breath of fresh air has come with the statement "likely near normal hurricane season. Factor in the hype from the 2004 and 2005 seasons, some gave the impression that there was 'No end in sight". Even from National Geographic. All it takes is one storm to hit the wrong place to cause massive death and destruction That is important to note. However this year looks like a normal one, and not a blockbuster.
The Specifics:
NOAA’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center calls for a 50 percent probability of a near-normal season, a 25 percent probability of an above-normal season and a 25 percent probability of a below-normal season. A lot is attribute to a developing El Nino, which inhibits Atlantic tropical storm formation. More on that in a later post.
That is about as average as you can get.
| Forecast | 2009 | Average |
| Named Storms | 9-14 | 10-11 |
| Hurricane Strength | 4-7 | 6-10 |
| Major Hurricane Cat 3-5 | 1-3 | 2 |
About 35 million people in the US live in the most hurricane prone region from coastal North Carolina through Texas. That's 12%. If you include the coastline population up through New England, it jumps to more than one half of US citizens.
Dr. William Gray's outlook for 2009, click here.
Comments
AS OF RIGHT NOW THE GUL WATER IS GETTING HOTTER IT'S 89c BUT LOOK IN THE UPER RIGHT CONER THE FIST TROPICAL/STORM OF 2009 AND IM GOING TO SEND OTHER INFO WE ARE UNDER THE GUN INITL 3:OOPM SEVER THUNDER-STORMS
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