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H1N1 Swine Flu symptoms peaked & on decline; CDC statistics update 11-30-2009

H1N1 Seems to have Peaked
H1N1 Swine Flu Symptoms Seem to have Begun the Decline, but Are We Safe Yet?

The new statistics report released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on November 30th on cases of H1N1 symptoms show that the spread of the virus has definitely peaked, and seems to be on the decline.  The report is current through Week 46, November 15-21, 2009.

Nearly Every Indicator Statistic is Down

The number of cases testing positive, the number of states with widespread influenza activity and transmission, the number of outpatient visits due to Influenza-Like Illness (ILI), the laboratory confirmed hospitalizations associated with influenza (pandemic 2009 H1N1 or otherwise) were all down, mostly dramatically so.  

Keep in mind, however, that this is only a decrease from the record numbers seen in the last few weeks; every indicator is still above official epidemic levels, and far above the baseline for Week 46 – some statistics in fact nearly double that baseline.

The only indicators that went up instead of down this week were the death rates, both nationwide and child fatalities; however, this is in line with the fact that the height of the outbreak was approximately 2-3 weeks previous.  Most likely, this number will begin to drop by next week.

Perhaps coincidentally, or perhaps not, the decline began a week or two after widespread distribution of the H1N1 vaccine began.

H1N1 Swine Flu Still Predominant Influenza Virus

Of all of the 9,159 specimens tested in week 46, only 1,880 tested positive for some variety of influenza virus, a mere 20.5%, well down from previous weeks.  6 were influenza B, with 1,874 being some subtype of influenza A.  Subtyping was not performed on 372, and 23 were unable to be subtyped.  One single specimen showed seasonal influenza A H1N1, with the remaining 1,478 confirmed as pandemic 2009 H1N1, or swine flu.

Other Interesting Statistics in the Report

  • 35 influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported during Week 46 (California, Colorado, Florida [3], Illinois [3], Indiana, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Mexico [8], New York, North Carolina [2], Pennsylvania [2], Rhode Island [2], South Carolina [2], Tennessee, Texas [2], and Washington).  27 of these deaths were associated with 2009 influenza A H1N1 (swine flu) virus infection, 7 were associated with an influenza A virus for which sub typing was not performed, and one was associated with a seasonal influenza A (H1) virus infection.  This brings the total for the flu season starting on August 30th to 172, and those confirmed to be H1N1 overall to 198.
  • Outpatient visits (visits to a doctor) that were due to ILI were about 4.3% of all outpatient visits – nearly double the national baseline for the current week of 2.3%.
  • 32 states still report widespread influenza activity; 17 reported regional activity (Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, and Wisconsin); and one single state, Wyoming, and the District of Columbia reported only local influenza activity.

 

 

photo by joost j. bakker


 

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For more on natural antivirals and ways to prevent and treat Swine Flu symptoms, be sure to read:

 


 

 

 

For a touch of humor, be sure to check out these great I Survived the Swine Flu Panic t-shirts and other fine products.

 

 

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Natural Health Examiner

Genevieve has been living in the midsouth for almost her entire life, writing on all manner of natural subjects for several years, including blogs,...

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