A significant multi-day severe weather event is forecast across portions of the southern and central Plains this weekend and eventually eastward into the lower Mississippi valley and mid-South on Monday. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a large area in the Day 4 through 6 severe weather outlook and mentions that strong tornadoes are possible.
A complex weather set-up will be in place with several features and pieces of energy coming together to produce the season's first significant severe weather outbreak. A strong area of low pressure and associated upper level trough will translate eastward out of the western states into this weekend and with significant moisture return out of the Gulf of Mexico, extreme instability will develop east of a dry line with vigorous supercell development likely. Very large hail, tornadoes, and strong winds are all possible.
The surface cold front and associated dry line will then advance eastward into the beginning of the workweek with the continued threat for large hail and tornadoes in the warm sector.
Check out the list below to see the specific areas highlighted for severe weather...
Day 4 (Saturday) Severe Outlook
The central and southern Plains are in the severe weather outlook area for Saturday. Cities under the gun include Oklahoma City, Wichita, Abilene, Norman, and Wichita Falls. Damaging winds, large hail, and strong tornadoes are all possible in the threat area.
Day 5 (Sunday) Severe Outlook
The severe weather threat will shift slightly eastward into the Interstate 35 corridor on Sunday with a continued threat in portions of the plains states. Cities under the gun for the second half of the weekend include Dallas, Fort Worth, Oklahoma City, Kansas City, and Tulsa. Damaging winds, large hail, and strong tornadoes are all possible in the threat area.
Day 6 (Monday) Severe Outlook
By Monday, the severe weather threat will shift eastward into portions of the Mississippi Valley and mid-south. Cities under the gun to start the workweek include Memphis, Nashville, St. Louis, Birmingham, and Baton Rouge. Damaging winds, large hail, and strong tornadoes are all possible in the threat area.
U.S. Tornado Count
The annual tornado count for 2014 through April 22nd is at a record low for this point in the season, surpassing the previous record in 2010.