Before we get to my final Oscar predictions, let’s take one more look at the closest race next to best picture – best supporting actress. It’s been a neck and neck race between Jennifer Lawrence and Lupita Nyong’o, but in these last days leading up to Oscar Sunday, who holds the edge? Find out by reading the full list.
1. Lupita Nyong'o - 12 Years a Slave
Lawrence took the most recent trophy, winning at BAFTA, but Nyong’o still holds the slight edge at the Oscars. Most importantly, the performance is just that good. More over, though, the Academy will likely want to show “12 Years a Slave” some love and Nyong’o offers a perfect opportunity to do that. SAG crowned her, and the actors have the largest voting body; add that to the support throughout the rest of the Academy and Nyong’o will likely have enough to push her to a win.
2. Jennifer Lawrence - American Hustle
We know that the Academy is as much in love, if not more so, with Jennifer Lawrence as the rest of the population. At 23 she has three nominations and a win. Nominations are one thing, handing out wins is another. The Academy waited 30 years to give Meryl Streep her third Oscar, so are they really going to give a 23-year-old her second just one year after her first? The Academy will hold off on making her a repeat winner.
3. Sally Hawkins - Blue Jasmine
Sally Hawkins was one of the big surprises on nomination morning, and for that reason alone she is the (extreme) dark horse candidate. Cate Blanchett has racked up all the awards for “Blue Jasmine,” but clearly there is support for Hawkins’ underrated performance in the Academy. Whether or not it is enough to overcome Nyong’o or Lawrence is questionable, but she already surprised us once.
4. Julia Roberts - August: Osage County
It was nice to see Julia Roberts acting again. “August: Osage County” is her most challenging role for quite some time, and she proved that she can still roll with the best of them, literally, as she matched Meryl Streep blow for blow. Despite the love for Roberts in Hollywood, there isn’t much hope she can pull the upset.
5. June Squibb - Nebraska
As wonderfully hilarious as June Squibb is in “Nebraska,” to say that she stands a chance at beating any of her competitors is sadly delusional. Though Squibb is a first time nominee at the age of 84, there isn’t nearly the same kind of sentiment vote that her co-star Bruce Dern is hoping to bank on. Her profanity-laden, sweet performance will have to be kept in our memories by itself, and not as an Academy winning turn.