The BAFTA Awards this past weekend saw a supporting actor nominee shoot up the charts and a one time favorite fall. With just two weeks to go, will these last minute moves have any affect on who takes home an Oscar on March 2? Find out in my list.
1. Jared Leto - Dallas Buyers Club
Jared Leto wasn’t nominated for at the BAFTA’s this past weekend (neither was his co-star Matthew McConaughey), so you can’t say he lost any of his lead because whoever won would have done so without Leto even being in consideration. He is still the clear favorite, and like Cate Blanchett in best actress, it will take some kind of miracle for anyone to upset him.
2. Barkhad Abdi - Captain Phillips
Barkhad Abdi did win at BAFTA last Sunday, and for that he proved something we’ve all been trying to figure out: who would be Oscar’s first alternative? Abdi received a lot of love at the ceremony in London, and he has been nominated by every major awards body for his debut role in “Captain Phillips.” He managed a nomination when his co-star, Tom Hanks, didn’t. He is the only supporting actor to win a major award this year besides Leto. Ladies and gentleman, Barkhad Abdi is option B at the Academy.
3. Jonah Hill - The Wolf of Wall Street
Jonah Hill continues to prove his doubters wrong. He is now a twice-nominated actor, so clearly the Academy likes him. “Wolf’s” biggest detractors likely find it hard to argue that he gives a funny and energetic performance. All of this makes him the wildcard. His chances are slim to none, as are the rest of the field’s to be honest, but few thought he’d even be here. Maybe he has something up his sleeve.
4. Michael Fassbender - 12 Years a Slave
It’s been a surprising fall for Michael Fassbender’s Oscar chances. He was once the perceived front-runner for his terrifying turn in “12 Years a Slave.” His campaign just never got started. The Irish actor failing to win at the British award show was the final nail in the coffin. At least he didn’t get snubbed this year like he did in 2011.
5. Bradley Cooper - American Hustle
It’s the ladies of “American Hustle” that are the real threats for awards, so Bradley Cooper will have to settle for a nomination for the second straight year. Cooper gives a fun performance, but it was lacking the same kind of punch that his “Silver Linings” role had that made him such a threat last year (for my money, a superior performance to even Day-Lewis). Enjoy the night Cooper, and hope that “Hustle” can pull an upset in best picture because that’s likely your best shot at getting on stage.