Western Antarctica showing some warming, while most of the continent stay very cold NASA
In all the talk and heated debate about global warming, I came across several articles on the subject recently, that made me think, but not change my view on the subject. Regardless of one's opinion, the facts are the facts and they cannot be denied. In this case, I make a case that global warming is simply a political ploy, in order for the news media to persuade the public into a state of panic. Why i'm not sure, but I have to say that I have been a part of that same media for fifteen years now and I get frustrated with the constant ignorance and one sighted reporting from both broadcasters and publishers!
On the one side, I would be fooling myself, if I said that the earth hasn't seen some global warming due to increase in industry, but folks, an increase in Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is not going to change the fact that EVERYTHING in weather and climate is cyclical. Nature is always trying to balance "herself" with the current trend having been for less cold and snow during winter seasons and hotter and drier summers, but snow lovers do not fret.
Just look at this 2008-2009 winter season...3.6" of snow in Las Vegas in December, making it the most amount of snow there since the 7.5" fell in 1979.... A trace to 6" of snow fell in southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana on Dec11th...historical records of snow fell in the upper plains states, specifically Wisconsin
While the above information is interesting to note, it is important to look at long term (30 year +) trends to see if there is any substance to or lack of global warming locally. Looking back to the 19th and 20th centuries in the United States, the climate records show warm and cold spells fluctuated normally, even though industry grew and a gradual release of more Carbon Dioxide was released into the atmosphere. By having a time of extreme drought in the early to mid 1930's, called the Dust Bowl Era, mixed in with periods when cold and snowy winters (the Blizzard of 1899 gave Washington D.C. 20.5" of snow, the Hudson River was frozen over in the winter of 1820-21, the 60s had active hurricane and winter seasons) we continue to ride that roller coaster ride of nature, with no evidence to me of any prolific change in our environment.
Lastly, for the purpose of this article, I have to say, we need to look to the stars, well actually just one star, the Sun, in order to delve deeper into its possible correlation with global warming. The interest in the sun, is in its sunspots and there on average 11 year cycle. According to detailed observations that have dated back to the late 19th century by the Royal Greenwich Observatory, records of sunspot activity have carefully been examined with regards to the size, position and number of sunspots. The findings over time can be summed up simply this way, the cyclical changes that the sun undergoes appears to correlate well with temperatures on earth. Research has shown that through time, long and relatively quiet solar cycles historically have been associated with cold global temperatures and with short and very active cycles, warm periods. The current cycle appears to be the longest in at least a century and may project to quieter subsequent cycle and cooling temperatures ahead. Just something to think about when you hear talk about how our winters are barren of snow and cold and how hotter our summers have been.
Have a look at these web articles in regard to Sun and its affects on our weather:
http://www.intellicast.com/Community/Content.aspx?ref=rss&a=149
http://www.intellicast.com/Community/Content.aspx?ref=rss&a=130
Please take a look at my friend Tony Pann's (WUSA Channel 9) first book on weather forecasting. His website is: http://www.jetmaxweather.com/ where a portion of the proceeds go to Maryland Food Bank.
Comments
Nice post on GW...and thanks for the plug on the book. :) If your readers are interested in seeing more info from the "other side of the fence" on GW, they should check out: www.icecap.us
There are both scientific articles nearly every day explaining why global warming is fact and denier articles like yours. To say you recently came across several seems like you are not looking very hard. You can find 1000s.
Don't fall for the global warming hoax, or the carbon offsets scam. Go get free carbon offsets for free:
freecarbonoffsets.com
You will feel better.
Why don't you stick to not being able to predict the weather and leave climate science to those that actually do the research.
Saying scientists discovering climate facts are a political ploy is insulting to scientists.
You point out something about snow in Vegas, which only identifies your lack of understanding in the climate vs weather discussion.
Your prayer of the Denialists soothes only the sheeple of anti-science oil profiteers.
find below list of four articles which try to put the global warming process in proper place
Article No1 January 7, 2009
uddebatt.wordpress.com/2009/01/09/global-warming-is-natural-enjoy-it-but-global-cooling-will-lead-to-our-extinction/
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Global warming is natural, enjoy it! But Global cooling will lead to our extinction
“Holding man and his activities responsible for pollution is truth, but holding him responsible for global warming is an “Inconvenient Truth” because man is too small to cause any changes of global scale on a sustainable basis,”
“The time has come to put things about global warming straight, before it is too late.”
“So-called greenhouse gases are essential for our survival now and increased population in the future, but today these gases are treated as if they are threatening our very existence by enhancing the global warming processes. ”
“The IPCC has actually become a closed circuit; it doesn’t listen to others. It doesn’t have open minds… I am really amazed that the Nobel Peace Prize has been given on scientifically incorrect conclusions by people who are not geologists.”
www.schmanck.de/Arya.html
January 7, 2009
‘Global warming is natural, enjoy it’ Declares Indian Geologist
‘Global cooling will lead to our extinction’
Award-winning Indian Geologist Dr. Ritesh Arya, who specializes in hydrogeology and groundwater resources in the Himalayas, declared, “Global warming is natural, enjoy it” and asserted that “man is too small to cause any impact on global warming.” Arya, who has authored several research papers and was invited by the Royal Geographical Society in 2005 to discuss climate change, warned that “global cooling will lead to our extinction.”
Arya will be discussing his new scientific paper which has been accepted for presentation at the July 5-9 2009 Global Conference on Global Warming in Istanbul, Turkey. Ayra was the recipient of the Great Indian Achievers Award 2004 and the Bharat Excellence Award 2003.
”Holding man and his activities responsible for pollution is truth, but holding him responsible for global warming is an “Inconvenient Truth” because man is too small to cause any changes of global scale on a sustainable basis,” Arya said on January 5, 2008. Arya says his new paper “emphasises the need to re-examine the global warming definition as proposed by UN IPCC which holds man and his activities responsible for increased global warming in recent years. Experiments carried by the author while drilling wells in the Indus Basin clearly show that major glaciers, including the Indus Glacier which extended from Mansarovar in Tibet to the Arabian Sea, melted much before the advent of industrialisation and the rates of receding of glaciers, though unknown in those times, were much faster then are being projected and related to the activities of man today.”
”The time has come to put things about global warming straight, before it is too late. Associating global warming to the activities of man as proposed by UN IPCC and holding mankind’s actions responsible for directly or indirectly contributing to increased greenhouse gases, leading to enhanced temperatures or faster melting rates of glaciers, will only make things worse because the definition and approach tries to establish a mathematical relationship between man and his environment but completely fails to explain the process in totality. Hence this confused scenario where we have become our own enemies and it seems we are fighting a lost battle. But the reality is totally different and man is too small to cause any impact on global warming,” Arya explained.
”So-called greenhouse gases are essential for our survival now and increased population in the future, but today these gases are treated as if they are threatening our very existence by enhancing the global warming processes. Global cooling will lead to our extinction. Imagine living in Antarctica or Greenland for the rest of the life without water, without cyclones, without floods. So it’s high time we learn to enjoy global warming,” Arya said.
Arya says his paper “is based on the data gathered for over a decade from the borewell samples drilled in the paleo-glacio-fluvial deposits of the Indus basin in Ladakh, Indian Himalayan region. Borewell samples analysed from the wells drilled clearly show that global warming and cooling processes are like day and night though with longer durations. They are an essential part of the global climate natural cycle which acts in uniform to continuously change the various landforms on this mother earth and make it geomorphologicaly so beautiful.”
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Note: Scientists in India are speaking out to publicly dissent from man-made climate fears and reject the views of their fellow countryman, UN IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri. See: India Issued a 2008 report challenging global warming fears. Also, Indian geologist Dr. Arun D. Ahluwalia at Punjab University and a board member of the UN-supported International Year of the Planet recently slammed climate fears and UN. “The IPCC has actually become a closed circuit; it doesn’t listen to others. It doesn’t have open minds… I am really amazed that the Nobel Peace Prize has been given on scientifically incorrect conclusions by people who are not geologists.” - (LINK) (LINK) ]
# # #
Below is Dr. Ritesh Arya’s entry in the U. S. Senate Minority Report: More Than 650 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims:
Indian Geologist Dr. Ritesh Arya, who specializes in hydrogeology and groundwater resources in the Himalayas, has authored several research papers and was invited by the Royal Geographical Society in 2005 to discuss climate change. Ayra, who has been the recipient of the Great Indian Achievers Award 2004 and the Bharat Excellence Award 2003, rejected man-made climate fears in 2008. “There is urgent need to put the phenomenon, which had not been triggered off suddenly, in the right perspective, as today almost every human activity right from vehicular emissions to use of polythene is being linked to global warming which was a much larger event which started as soon as the Ice Age ended. The fact was that the ‘biotic’ agents (man and other living organisms) had a very small role compared to the ‘abiotic’ (geological, geomorphologic, climatologic, planetary and hydrological) events like earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, movement of glaciers and landslides,” Arya told The Tribune on February 18, 2008. According to the article, Arya termed “the hype and panic over ‘global warming’ as ‘unnecessary.’” “There is a hype of global warming created by western mass media and there is a need to redefine the whole concept,” Arya said on June 14, 2008. He also has been recognized by the Guinness World Records for his “achievement in finding groundwater in the Chushul area at an altitude of more than 14,000 ft.”
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ARTICLE NO 2
Publication:Times Of India Chandigarh; Date:Apr 3, 2007; Section:Times Chandigarh; Page Number:22
epaper.timesofindia.com/Repository/ml.asp?Ref=VE9JQ0cvMjAwNy8wNC8wMyNBcjAyMjAy&Mode=HTML&Locale=english-skin-custom
‘Man, be not proud, global warming is not your creation’
TIMES NEWS NETWORK
Chandigarh: Last week, Sydney switched off lights to express its growing concern about global warming and the need for humans to do something about it. But listen to Ritesh Arya, a city-based Guiness book record holder hydro-geologist, the Australians need not have bothered. For, he says, humans are too insignificant to damage the environment that dramatically.
Arya, a PU alumni, will be giving an oral presentation at the third international conference on climate and water in Helsinki. The presentation will be at the session on “Climate change and water resources: Risk and risk management.”
Talking to TOC, Arya said, ‘‘Although global warming is a much-hyped subject, there is mounting evidence that human activity is too insignificant to impact Earth’s ecology so drastically. Whatever findings we have so far do not link up properly and science has not been able to justify many of the stands we have taken.’’
For instance, he says, ‘‘if human activity is to be blamed for a hole in the ozone layer, then it really does not make sense that the hole is on Antarctica which sees near negligible human activity. Also there is growing evidence that global warming followed by global cooling is a natural cycle and will happen with or without human contribution.’’
The entire Indus river was a glacier once upon a time, he said. Global cooling resulted in ice ages and global warming started melting it. The glaciers were now confined to higher Himalayas, clearly showing that how little impact man had in controlling the warming process, he said.
Referring to recent reports indicating that Himalayan glaciers will melt by 2030, Arya said, “I would give them some more years say by 2060 and then the glacial ages or the global cooling will start again resulting in the formation of glaciers and beginning of ice age. Cooling will have to follow warming process. That is sure,” he said.
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ARTICLE NO 3
www.tribuneindia.com/2008/20080219/himachal.htm#4
Panic over global warming misplaced: Geologist
Rakesh Lohumi
Tribune News Service
Tuesday, February 19, 2008, Chandigarh, India
Terming the hype and panic over “global warming” as “unnecessary”, well-known hydro-geologist Ritesh Arya seeks to redefine the phenomenon as a natural cyclic process for transporting the weathered and eroded material accumulated during the global cooling phase in the past.
Arya, who shot into limelight for harnessing ground water in mountainous regions, has in his latest research paper to be presented at the “Global conference on global warming” being held at Istanbul in July later in the year introduced a new concept of bio-geologic cycle to explain the relevance of global warming in shaping the earth now and in the future.
“There is urgent need to put the phenomenon, which had not been triggered off suddenly, in the right perspective as today almost every human activity right from vehicular emissions to use of polythene is being linked to global warming which was a much larger event which started as soon as the Ice Age ended. The fact was that the “biotic” agents (man and other living organisms) had a very small role compared to the “abiotic” (geological, geomorphologic, climatologic, planetary and hydrological) events like earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, movement of glaciers and landslides” he told The Tribune here today.
His theory is based on the observations made by him during the drilling operations to tap sustainable water sources by developing groundwater resources in various “hydrostraigraphic” zones identified by him over the past 15 years in the high-altitude areas, including the cold deserts of Ladakh, across the north-western Himalayas. The core material found during deep drilling on high mountain areas like Khardung La (over 18,000 ft) was geologically similar to the one found on the banks of the Indus river which established a link between global warming and glacial movements. Rivers like the Saraswati vanished long time ago when there were no industries, no polluting vehicles or other human activities which could cause global warming, which are being termed as the main contributing factors by present-day environmentalists. Disappearance of the river was a geological event caused by global warming, explains Arya, who found a place in the Guinness Book of World Records for his achievement in finding groundwater in the Chushul area at an altitude of more than 14,000 ft.
The phenomenon could not be understood in isolation and it had to be seen in totality. Global cooling and global warming are like day and night, one will follow the other and instead of pressing the panic button the effort should be on “managing the situation”. However, it should be kept in mind that human effort would be of no consequence in reversing the mega process.
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ARTICLE 4
www.tribuneindia.com/2009/20090125/cth1.htm
‘Global warming is natural, enjoy it’
Saurabh Malik
Tribune News Service
Sunday, January 25, 2009, Chandigarh, India
Chandigarh, January 24
The hot news on global warming is that “it’s natural” Man has nothing to do with it.
Rather, global warming and cooling processes are like day and night, though of longer durations.
No wonder, award-winning Indian Geologist Dr Ritesh Arya suggests, “Enjoy it”.
A specialist in hydrogeology and groundwater resources in the Himalayas, Dr Arya says, “Man is too small to cause any impact on global warming.”
Author of research papers and invited by the Royal Geographical Society in 2005 to discuss climate change, Dr Arya insists, “Holding man and his activities responsible for pollution is acceptable. Blaming him for global warming is far from truth.”
His vision is not without basis. “Experiments carried while drilling wells in the Indus basin clearly show major glaciers melted much before the advent of industrialisation,” he says. “The rate at which the glaciers receded, though unknown in those times, was much faster than now being projected and related to the activities of man.”
Dr Arya’s views have found a platform in Turkey. He is scheduled to give vent to his findings through a scientific paper. It has been accepted for presentation during a worldwide conference on global warming in Istanbul, Turkey. It is slated to be held from July 5 to July 9.
Dr Arya says his new paper emphasises on the need to reexamine the global warming definition. The one in currency holds man and his activities responsible for increased global warming in recent years.
Dr Arya believes the time has come to put things straight, before it is too late. “Holding mankind responsible for directly or indirectly contributing to increase in greenhouse gases, leading to enhanced temperatures or faster melting rates of glaciers, will only make things worse.”
The so-called greenhouse gases, he says, are essential for survival. Dr Arya is, otherwise also, convinced that global cooling will only lead to extinction. “Imagine living in Antarctica or Greenland for the rest of your life without water, without cyclones, without floods,” Dr Arya says.
He says his paper “is based on the data gathered for over a decade from the bore-well samples drilled in the Indus basin in Ladakh and the Indian-Himalayan region.
“Bore-well samples analysed from the wells drilled clearly show that global warming and cooling processes are like day and night though of longer durations. They are an essential part of the natural cycle.”
So what are the suggestions and safeguards? “With little precaution while selecting the site for habitation near the coasts or glacio-fluvial valleys, the impacts of global warming like cyclones, flash flooding and land submergence can be minimised,” he asserts, adding, “As such, it’s high time we learn to enjoy global warming.”
global warming is the best part of the natural cycle to be on this planet
man himself is creation of warming and cooiling alone will lead to his extnction.
warming and cooling are cyclic process which takes 10000 or more years to complete
judging the process by 100 years changes is just like not striking the right cord
there are cooling and warming events in the warming and cooling cycles and these have to be clearly demarcated and understood otherwise yearly fluctuations will tend to lead us to the present problems which we see are facing
CO2 levels are increasing but who knows exactly how co2 was measured in the past
everyone wants to raise the alrm and gain from the warming gmae
global warming is natural and we have to enjoy it
cooling not pollution will lead to our extinction
the present about warming is like
global warming is the best part of the natural cycle to be on this planet
man himself is creation of warming and cooiling alone will lead to his extnction.
warming and cooling are cyclic process which takes 10000 or more years to complete
judging the process by 100 years changes is just like not striking the right cord
there are cooling and warming events in the warming and cooling cycles and these have to be clearly demarcated and understood otherwise yearly fluctuations will tend to lead us to the present problems which we see are facing
CO2 levels are increasing but who knows exactly how co2 was measured in the past
everyone wants to raise the alrm and gain from the warming gmae
global warming is natural and we have to enjoy it
cooling not pollution will lead to our extinction
the present about warming is like
i believe that global warming is bullshit. all throughout history the climate has changed, why are they making such a big deal out of it this time. they dont sit there and talk about what cause the climate change 100's of years ago.
they just need to let it go.
ohh and peoole have survived cooling in the past, i believe we'll be just fine!!
The questions are scientific, but the UN answers are political. The global warming debate is hardly about science. It has become a cause célèbre, championed by activists, politicians and celebrities. To deny their belief that humans are the cause of global warming, is to invoke their wrath. Science is not consensus; Science is theory, observation and measurement. Science is not, “let's all take a vote on the speed of light and see what number we get.” Science is dictated by nature's rules.
Don J. Easterbrook, Ph.D., emeritus professor of geology at Western Washington University, asked, "What does it take to ignore 10 years of global cooling, sharply declining temperatures the last couple of years, record setting lack of sun spots . . . failure of computer models to predict real climate, predictable warming and cooling climates for the past 500 years. The answer is really quite simple — just follow the money!"
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