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JSTAT was barred from posting at blackjackinfo.com for having opposing views on 7/28/09. He did nothing to break the rules there. A moderator named ICountNTrack, who should be called Deputy Barney Fife (Don Knotts of the Andy Griffith Show), wrongly arrested the good guy. The charge, claiming hi-lo is not the great count it is cracked up to be . Too bad Sheriff Taylor is not to be found there.
Hi-lo can be converted from the modified Ten Count (JSTATII). Using this conversion makes the Ten Count at least equal to hi-lo. What makes it stronger is the perfect insurance and blackjack frequency ingredients. For instance, an even count with two extra aces above the average at close to 3 decks left at a 6 deck game, we will have an advantage at the .26 house edge games on the Las Vegas strip. Instead of receiving blackjacks of 4.74% off the top of the shoe, blackjacks will arrive 5.55% of the time at about 3 decks. A .81 difference! .81-.26 gives us a .55 advantage while using perfect basic strategy and surrender. JSTATII identifies the positive situation while the hi-lo player does not. JSTAT has won for 20 years using this model.
JSTAT can't believe he was barred from a blackjack message board for speaking the truth! Bad for business? He did not break any of the posting rules. JSTAT learned from blackjack guru and mentor Arnold Snyder to be polite under adversity. Snyder gave him a break by publishing some of his casino writings in his Blackjack Forum. They are both retired letter carriers and are on friendly terms. Snyder's site is to be trusted.
But writing a negative review on examiner.com about blackjackinfo.com is strong in JSTAT's heart. Major contributor on this message board Zen Grifter, is a convicted $80 million swindler. "The Zen Zone" is dedicated to him on the site. Dalton also replies on the other sections of the board. If Dalton can wipe out "little old ladies" bank accounts, why would this site care about newbies seeking advice? Bjinfo's administrator Ken Smith's association with Dalton is disturbing for new card counters . Which leads me to this confession. This article will affect all blackjack message boards, including Snyder's. Can JSTAT have his forgiveness when published?
Comments
Forget about it !
I loved the Barney picture
Maybe use of a ten count with ace side count can provide a card counting blackjack player (CCBJP) with perfect insurance betting. This is provided of course that a CCBJP is able to excute his strategy perfectly. How much exactly is that worth? The card count indicates that the deck composition favors taking an insurance bet only a small fraction of the times that the dealer gets a blackjack. The dealer gets a blackjack about every 21 hands. Most of these opportunities to take insurance are border line situations where in taking insurance is only marginally better than not. As the count and profits from taking insurance increase in linear fashion, the frequency of opportunities to take insurance decrease in an exponential fashion. Perfect insurance betting causes a change in expected return of game worth about a tenth of a percentage point in favor of the player. For some less skilled CCBJP I could see how this could mean the difference between holding on and losing it.
Maybe perfect insurance betting causes a change in expected return of game worth about a tenth of a percentage point in favor of the card counting blackjack player (CCBJP). This for a JSTAT like CCBJP using a ten count with ace side count. That is what a BJCCP gains now what does a BJCCP lose? JSTAT has stated elsewhere that he has been barred from playing in Casinos on numerous occasions. Could it be that perfect insurance betting is a give away to casino personnel that he is a CCBJP? Obviously perfect insurance betting is not worth it if a CCBJP is barred from play.
Maybe Hi-Lo is capable of rendering a change in expected return of game worth more than half of a tenth of a percentage point in favor of the player. The way it is done with hi-lo is that the CCBJP finds an average of the count when the insurance count becomes profitable. This can be used as a tool in determining when insurance betting is or is not profitable and how profitable it is. The higher the count is than the average count where in the insurance bet becomes profitable, then the more profitable is the opportunity to take insurance.
Uston Advanced Plus Minus is very similar to Hi-Lo. USPM makes tens and aces count as negative one and makes threes, fours, fives, sixes, and sevens count as plus one. Hi-lo makes tens and aces count the same as USPM. However it is twos, threes, fours, fives and sixes that hi-lo makes count as plus one. This makes a significant difference. Seven makes three very strong hands 19, 20, and 21 for the dealer out of 12, 13, and 14. Two makes often makes a twelve for two relatively weak hands 17, and 18 for the dealer and other than that does not bust the dealer. Seven often makes a 17 for the CCBJP who Two often makes a 12 for the CCBJP. Maybe the change in the expected return of the game is the deciding factor. When used as part of an integrated counting betting and playing strategy USPM renders a change of more than 1.2% in expected return of the game in favor of the CCBJP. Use of indices to vary playing strategy can increases this change to more than 1.6%. Perfect insurance = 0.1%
I got banned from the site for objecting to libelous attacks by a competing writer whose advice I challenged and Moderator Sonny who made accusations based solely upon malice (he had not read my books nor the sites he denigrated without having visited them!). Matter of fact, none of those commenting on me had read my books - the definition of ignorance. I hold blackjackinfo.com liable not for the libelous remarks and for supporting the libeler and banning me (effectively preventing me from defending myself). They should really be called blackjackDISinfo.com.
Richard, I read your links... thoroughly even. If you deviate from the mathemathics of it and use nebulous, unsubstantiated trains of thought bordering on "magical mystical" notions or "gamblers fallacy", you can expect some criticisms from these devout "by the book and by the math" sort of guys. It was wrong for them to bar you though, not giving you a chance to make your point(s). Several people on the site HAVE read your books as it turns out though. From what I saw of your intial posts you were vicious and outwardly hostile. In your links, you crack on people that put together some of the building blocks of modern blackjack... do present day physics professors bust on Isaac Newton and call him an idiot that rode the "short bus"?
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