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Winter forecast no change, short-term trends to Thanksgiving and Black Friday

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NOAA is set to release their winter outlook today, my preliminary winter forecast has been out for a long time now and I don't have any major changes yet. Here in Georgia it still looks like winter will average out with temperatures below normal and precipitation near normal, with the odds of snow and ice normal to above-normal.

Yesterday the high in Atlanta was only 51 and we will stay chilly today with lots of clouds, a high not much above yesterday. But we will increase the sunshine and the temperatures in the days ahead, getting back to near average for this time of year by Monday. It looks like a very nice late fall weekend for getting in some home and car winterizing or doing some Christmas shopping.

A weak Nor'easter is off the coast of Georgia and South Carolina today but it will just brush the Northeast states this week and weekend staying mostly off shore. A second Nor-Easter may have more impact on the Mid-Atlantic states or New England late this weekend and into at least Wednesday of next week. The highest odds for holiday travel disruption right now look to be in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies and from North Carolina to Maine.

From this distance Thanksgiving and Black Friday look dry here in Atlanta with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s, pretty typical if that holds up.

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