At the SXSW Festival in Austin, Texas, video game analyst Michael Pachter made a variety of predictions of the video game industry for the next generation of consoles. In a presentation, Pachter said that the Wii U will under-perform. According to his lifetime sales predictions, the Wii U will sell between 30 – 50 million consoles. This is around half of what the Nintendo Wii sold in it’s lifetime, which is 99 million units. He also said that both the Playstation 4 and Microsoft’s new console will outsell their predecessor by 20 million each for a total of 90+ million units each. This statement conflicts with an earlier statement that the upcoming consoles will be the last generation of consoles to exist.
If these predictions are based off of current trends for the Wii U, it is faulty logic to say that the Wii U will sell 30-50 million units. As Nintendo releases more triple A titles such as the Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker HD, and the new Legend of Zelda game among others, the Wii U will be able to sell more units. This is also based off the assumption that console games will be $70 despite that fact that Sony said that it will price it’s games between $.99 and $60. Many of his statements have been proven wrong and it is best to take Michael Pachter’s comments and presentation with a grain of salt.