ESPN reported yesterday, September 26, 2013, that New York Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is seeking a 10-year $305 million contract in free agency after this season. Cano, who has been with the Yankees his whole career, will become a free agent after the 2013 season is over.
There is one critical reason why Robinson Cano is being completely delusional for seeking a 10-year $305 million contract. And it really is not because of the money.
Robinson Cano will be 31 years old for the 2014 season
Robinson Cano will be 31 years old in 2014, the first year of the new free agent contract he is going to sign. Looking at the careers of the 18 second basemen in the Baseball Hall of Fame reveals a lot about how long great second baseman's careers last.
Hall of Fame second basemen careers last til they are 37 years old on average
On average, the 18 Hall of Fame second baseman's careers basically lasted until they were 37 years old. That is the average age that the 18 collectively had their last active seasons, meaning they saw at least some amount of playing time.
Hall of Fame second basemen have last 500 at-bat season at age 35 on average
Even worse, on average, the 18 collectively had their last 500 at-bat seasons at age 35.4 years. Playing second base is tough physically, and second basemen tend not to last as long as some other positions in baseball.
Hall of Fame second basemen have last good to great season at age 34 on average
Looking at the 18 Hall of Fame second basemen, on average, they collectively had their last good to great season at the age of 34.3 years.
So, based upon the careers of the 18 Hall of Fame members who were second basemen, a great second basemen will last in the major leagues until he is 37 years old. A great second basemen will have his last 500 at-bat season by the age of 35 to 36 years old, and the great second baseman will have his last good to great season at the age of 34 to 35 years old.
Any team giving Robinson Cano a 10-year contract will be paying him for non-production for five years
By asking for a 10-year $305 million contract, Robinson Cano is really asking for some baseball team to pay him an absolute fortune that he will only earn for the first four to five years.
Based upon the careers of other great second baseman in baseball history, any team that gives Robinson Cano a contract lasting for more than five years at the most, will likely end up paying Cano a fortune for five mediocre to non-existent years at the end of a 10-year contract.