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Why Democrats might win the House in 2014

Tea Partiers and Republicans will not win in 2014 with their economic rhetoric
Tea Partiers and Republicans will not win in 2014 with their economic rhetoric
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

Three years and three million disastrous policy pushes later, the Republican Party is in big trouble heading into the 2014 midterms. Viewed from the perspective of conservatives, the 2010 midterms supposedly ushered in the era of the “Tea Party revolution” – a revolution that would sweep Barack Obama out of the White House and forge the core of a new multiracial rainbow coalition where blacks, Hispanics, and Asians join Whites in standing for “limited government” and “free market capitalism.”

Suffice to say, that “revolution” was never a reality. It was a fiction of delirious conservative imagination. Obama got reelected President with overwhelming support from all non-white demographics, and the only demographic that supported anything the Republicans did over the last three years was White people. Try as they might, a conservative rainbow coalition is never happening.

With that said, here are the facts heading into the 2014 midterms: Whereas the Democrats will campaign mainly on raising the minimum wage, which has failed to keep up with inflation, the GOP will presumably run on opposition to Obamacare (to pacify their own base), and on the myth that “conservative economic ideas” will improve the livelihood of non-whites. Leaving aside the fact that if John Boehner and House Republicans cave on amnesty, then the White base will be demoralized, the GOP might lose on Obamacare and economic rhetoric alone.

Obamacare

As bad as that law is, the White base seems to be growing sick and tired of hearing everyone in the conservative noise machine harp on it on a daily basis. Oh sure, the latest posts on Facebook from Ted Cruz and the Heritage Foundation will still garner hundreds or even thousands of “likes,” and talk radio will still get its round of angry “repeal Obamacare” callers.

But as Michael Savage has said repeatedly, do you really want to listen to these conservatives rail against Obamacare all the time? Savage just displaced the milquetoast Sean Hannity in the coveted 3-6 slot thanks in no small part to his coverage of immigration and culture. If Cruz or any of these Tea Party/conservative leaders think that railing against Obamacare is their ticket to keeping control of the House, then they’re going to find it’s a one trick pony.

Economics

This is where the Democrats already have the GOP checkmated. Here's how the average voter will see it: Tax cuts that don’t benefit me and spending cuts that hurt me vs. increasing wages to keep up with basic expenses. As long as the Democrats can stay away from the insatiable urge to blame everything on “White Privilege” and “racism” for the next ten months, they’ll get the White vote everywhere but the South and will cruise to victory.

A big “if,” that, but here’s the bottom line: Campaigning on the minimum wage is a smart tactical strategy. It forces the Republicans and especially the Tea Party to defend economic outcomes of free market policies that are indefensible, such as stagnating wages and decreased consumer buying power. Because the GOP is bankrolled by mega-rich corporate donors, and because the Tea Party is religiously committed to the aforementioned dogmas of “limited government” and “capitalism,” they’ll happily demonize any increase in the minimum wage as “socialism gone wild.”

It’s bad enough that the Republicans and Tea Partiers utterly refuse to stand for the interests of the one and only racial demographic that supports them, but from their own strategical standpoint, it’s even worse when they campaign on policies that their own base is either tired of hearing or will reject out of hand (the free market/anti-government ideologues notwithstanding).

If and when the Democrats siege control of the House, here’s the question everyone on the alternative right has got to start thinking: Are the Republicans and the Tea Party both designed to lose? Or do the corporate donors that allow the GOP and Tea Party to exist honestly think that the political and ideological agendas they support will protect their hoards of money over the long run?

Because while the general agreement on the alt right is that the Tea Party is controlled opposition (hence why it would be designed to lose), many of them still hold out hope that their groups might get covert support and funding from rich white business owners. You heard it here first: That will never happen.