History is not on the side of the Weber State Wildcats at this NCAA Tournament. How so? The Wildcats (19-11) look to become the first No. 16 seed to ever defeat a No. 1 seed -- in their case, 30-4 Arizona.
Let's get real for a minute. How likely is an upset though -- when Arizona destroyed the Utah Utes, reportedly a more talented local team than Weber State, by the lopsided score of 71-39?
On Friday, March 21 in sunny San Diego -- a short drive from Tucson and a rabid UA fan base -- Weber State has a mission Captain Kirk wouldn't want; to go where no tiny program from some obscure conference has.
That said, Weber State does have some history on its side because Arizona was a No. 2 seed in 1993 and lost to tiny Santa Clara -- who was a 15 seed and had some guy by the name of Steve Nash when it pulled off that upset.
Weber State’s best chance at pulling off the unthinkable comes from guard Davion Berry, a 6-4 product of Oakland, Calif. He averages 19 points, four rebounds and four assists per game.
If you’re looking for a statistic by which to measure Weber’s chances, Berry had a respectable but not spectacular 14 points in a blowout loss earlier this season at UCLA.
Center Kyle Tresnak also needs to have a big game -- and he might, considering he is from Arizona himself -- and averages about 12 points and five rebounds.
But against those mighty Bruins, Tresnak was nowhere to be found -- scoring just six points in 16 minutes -- before fouling out.
For the season the Wildcats shoot 48 percent from the field and 39 percent from behind the three point line and wins its games by a 7-point margin.
Arizona, meanwhile, has four players who average in double figures. It defeats its opposition by an average of 15 points -- allowing just 58 points per game and 38 percent shooting (31 from three).
In fact, in every statistical category this game looks like a mismatch -- making it even more special if Weber State can do what it did to North Carolina during March Madness so long ago, and pull off another upset.