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Weather forecast: Cooler


Weather analysis map at 5AM Thursday                                 (Courtesy UCAR)

Analysis....
quasi-stationary front continues to be draped just north/east of the hoosier state this morning, and is expected to gradually lift northward today.  Meanwhile, a deep low pressure in central Canada will slide eastward, pulling a cold front through the region on Friday.  This is expected to usher in a cooler, Canadian airmass for several days across the region.

As the cold front passes through the region late Friday, it will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  A few isolated strong storms appear possible, with large hail and isolated pockets of strong winds the main concern.  Temperatures will cool rapidly behind these storms.  Temperatures will remain cooler through the middle part of next week as a gradual warmup moves in from the central plains.

Forecast in detail....
Rest of Thursday:  Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late.  High around 84.  Light west/southwest winds occasionally gusting around 10 MPH.
Friday:  Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon.  Thunderstorms likely late.  A few isolated strong storms possible.  Morning low around 61, afternoon high around 74.  Chance of rain 70%.  Light southwest winds becoming west 5-15 MPH late.
Saturday:  Decreasing clouds and cooler.  Slight chance of a few morning showers.  Morning low around 41, afternoon high around 58.  Northwest winds 5-10 MPH.
Sunday:  Mostly sunny and cold.  Morning low around 39, afternoon high around 61.  Northwest winds 5-10 MPH decreasing to 0-5 MPH late.
Monday:  Sunny and a bit warmer.  Morning low around 41, afternoon high around 64.  Winds light and variable.

A look at the long range....
Next chance of rain appears to be late Wednesday into Thursday as a warm front pushes northeast across the region, bringing warmer air back to the Ohio Valley.  A few dry and very warm days follow, as a larger, more potent system sets up in the central plains toward the end of next week.  Will have to monitor this as it could potentially be a severe weather concern if models are correct.

Comments

  • Michael W. Moss 4 years ago

    Watching these very carefully. There appears to be enough Speed Shear in the Atmosphere for an isolated tornado threat tomorrow, if the instablity comes up some.

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