Western resolve in Poland and other former Soviet block nations is a lot stronger there than in the Crimea that has a longer history of instability and more current history of affinity with Russia. That is not to say that communities in nations bordering Russia who have a significant population of ethnic Russians will find it easier now to regain their allegiance. Probably just the opposite is true as border states with Russia are heightening their defense against further Russian expansion. The West is no longer tentative about declaring intentions as President Obama underscores with his visit to Poland.
“These Countries With Large Russian Populations Should Fear What Putin Might Do Next
MAR. 21, 2014, 4:50 PM
Citing the right to intervene wherever Russians are deemed to be in trouble, Vladimir Putin has set a possible precedent for future Russian intervention across Eastern Europe and Central Asia.
This map, from Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty, highlights the regions in neighboring countries that have the highest concentrations of Russian citizens, ethnic Russians, and native Russian speakers.”
- Estonia 31%
- Latvia 40%
- Belarus 42%
- Ukraine (a range depending upon sector. For instance, Crimea was 77% ethnic Russian. Two other sectors are 69% and 75% ethnic Russian.)
- Moldova (parts are 41% ethnic Russian.)
International law prevents ethnic populations from usurping the host nation by insurrection. Eastern Europe like the rest of Europe has an ancient history with a host of diversity. Trouble happens when ethnic majorities attempt to assert authoritarian power over minorities.
“Obama, in Warsaw, Pledges Solidarity With Eastern Europe
By PETER BAKER JUNE 3, 2014
WARSAW — President Obama announced more steps on Tuesday to bolster security in central and eastern Europe with additional deployments and training as he arrived in Poland for the start of a four-day European trip aimed at locking arms with allies following Russia’s intervention in Ukraine.
Mr. Obama tried to make a point of demonstrating solidarity with leaders from Poland and the rest of the region immediately upon landing. Striding across the tarmac from Air Force One, he visited a hangar with four American F-16 fighter jets and addressed about 50 American and Polish airmen and soldiers with a message of resolve.
“I’m starting the visit here because our commitment to Poland’s security as well as the security of our allies in central and eastern Europe is a cornerstone of our own security and is sacrosanct,” Mr. Obama told the troops with President Bronislaw Komorowski of Poland at his side. “As friends and allies, we stand united together and forever.””