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Very warm and humid with severe storms possible late today and tonight

Daily weather summary graphics created by your Youngstown Weather Examiner
Daily weather summary graphics created by your Youngstown Weather Examiner
Jason Warren

A large meso-scale convective complex over the western Great Lakes this morning, will weaken as it tracks eastward toward the area. An outflow boundary associated with this system will move into the eastern Great Lakes this afternoon, becoming the focus for new thunderstorm development. Storms will probably initiate across parts of lower MI and Ontario this afternoon, then track southeastward into our area during the late afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms could be severe.

Forecast Map: June 17, 2014
Jason Warren

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the area tonight, as a stationary front remains in place across northern Ohio. Heavy rain from repeated thunderstorms could cause flooding.

We will probably see a lull in the activity Wednesday morning, but additional storms are likely Wednesday afternoon and evening as storms develop to our northwest, and spread southeastward across the area. Storms could be severe.

Showers and storms will continue through Wednesday night. More heavy rain and severe weather will be possible.

Little change in the pattern is expected on Thursday, with warm and humid conditions and the threat of showers and thunderstorms continuing.

Here is the forecast: For today, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. Winds SW 5-10 mph.

Tonight, mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60s. Winds W 5-10 mph.

Wednesday, partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. Winds SW 10-15 mph.

Wednesday night, mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows will be in the mid 60s.

Thursday, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the mid 80s.

Extended Analysis: A very warm and humid air mass will remain in place across the region through the extended period. A stationary front across the area will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms each day. A couple of larger thunderstorm complexes could also track southeastward across the area during this time frame, bringing the threat of heavy rainfall and severe weather.

Here is the extended forecast: Thursday night, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the low to mid 60s.

Friday, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the low 80s.

Friday night, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the low to mid 60s.

Saturday, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be around 80.

Saturday night, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows will be in the low 60s.

Sunday, partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be around 80.