The election is down to its final days and President Obama and Mitt Romney are making their final push to put them over the top on Tuesday.
Like a roller coaster, the 2012 presidential election has had its ups, downs and ins and outs. Both candidates have had their highs and lows, but as the race comes to a close, President Obama seems to have enough of a lead to live in the White House for another four years. According to the newest poll by Public Policy Polling, President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by five points in Ohio, crossing the important 50 percent threshold, holding a 50 to 45 percent lead over the former CEO of Bain Capital. The PPP also reports that President Obama is leading Romney in Wisconsin, 51 to 46 percent. Wisconsin was a state that Republicans hoped would flip to Romney after Paul Ryan was brought on board as the Vice Presidential nominee. In the important swing state of Iowa, the PPP also has the president with a 50 to 45 percent advantage.
A new poll by the Detroit News/WDIV-TV has President Obama leading in Michigan, 48 to 42 percent, up three points from last month. Mitt Romney has tried to change the narrative regarding the auto industry bailout, but the majority of voters in Michigan seem to approve of how the president handled the situation. In the new Wall Street Journal/NBC/Marist poll, President Obama is ahead by six points in Iowa, 50 to 44 percent and is holding on to a small lead in New Hampshire, 49 to 47 percent.
In Virginia, the numbers seem mixed. According to a Roanoke College poll, the president is trailing Mitt Romney by five points, but a Quinnipiac/CBS News/New York Times poll has President Obama with a slim two point lead. On the national level, a Fox News poll has the race tied, with each candidate getting 46 percent of the vote. Nate Silver of the New York Times and the 538 blog has increased the likelihood of President Obama's re-election. As of November 1st, Silver has the electoral map favoring President Obama with 300.4 electoral votes to Mitt Romney's 237.6. Nate Silver has the president's chances of victory at 79 percent, up eight percent since October 24, compared to Romney's slim 21 percent chance.
As the election comes down to the wire, Mitt Romney's momentum has slowed down since his performance during the first debate. With President Obama's electoral base being higher than Mitt Romney, Romney will need to make up ground just to break even. With the country so politically divided, Romney still has a very good chance to become the next president, but in the end, it will all come down to turnout.
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