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UFC on Fox 11: Werdum vs. Browne: Full card predictions

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 21: Travis Browne celebrates defeating Chad Griggs by tap out from an arm triangle during their heavyweight bout for UFC 145 at Philips Arena on April 21, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.
ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 21: Travis Browne celebrates defeating Chad Griggs by tap out from an arm triangle during their heavyweight bout for UFC 145 at Philips Arena on April 21, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.
(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

UFC on Fox 11 is this Saturday, April 19 at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida. Online prelims start at 3:30p.m., the next block of prelims air at 5:00p.m., and the main card can be seen on Sportsnet 360 at 8:00p.m. The main card is stacked full of top 10 fighters including KO artist Yoel Romero, the cowboy Donald Cerrone, Miesha Tate and a Heavyweight matchup between Fabricio Werdum and Travis Browne. Enjoy the predictions and UFC on Fox 11 fight card.

Online Prelims: 2-1-0

265 lbs. – Derrick Lewis (0-0 UFC) vs. Jack May (0-0 UFC) – Lewis via TKO
May stands in at 6’8 and has a ton of KO power with 6 of 7 pro wins coming via TKO. May has some really good striking, but his grappling has yet to truly be tested. Lewis will likely be the better well-rounded fighter and take May to the ground where he can unload his g&p. Correct plus method

145 lbs. – Mirsad Bektic (0-0 UFC) vs. Chas Skelly (0-0 UFC) – Skelly via decision - Wrong
Bektic will have the better striking with his speed and power, but Skelly has a fantastic wrestling attack and will test Bektic’s takedown defense. Skelly is a grinder on the mat and he should control the fight from top control for at least 2 of the 3 rounds. Wrong - Bektic via decision

125 lbs. – #13 Dustin Ortiz (1-1 UFC) vs. Ray Borg (0-0 UFC) – Ortiz via decision
Borg is replacing Alptekin Ozkilic due to injury. Borg is a talented undefeated prospect that would have made it to the UFC eventually with his excellent grappling and a solid striking repertoire. Ortiz will likely be too much for Borg though with his strong wrestling base and great striking. Correct plus method

Fox Sports Prelims: 6-0-0

170 lbs. – Jordan Mein (1-1 UFC) vs. Hernani Perpetuo (0-0 UFC) – Mein via TKO
Perpetuo is replacing an injured Santiago Ponzinibbio. Perpetuo has a pro record of 17-3, great striking and a good grappling game. Mein lost his last fight to Matt Brown, but there’s no doubting his skills as he’ll likely control the striking with his technique and land takedowns when available. Correct (Mein via S. decision)

185 lbs. – Caio Magalhaes (2-1 UFC) vs. Luke Zachrich (0-0 UFC) – Magalhaes via submission
Zachrich is replacing an injured Josh Samman. Magalhaes hasn’t looked the best so far in his UFC career, but he has the skill to defeat a fighter like Zachrich. The striking exchanges should be fairly even as neither man has great technique, but once on the mat Magalhaes will have a big advantage. Correct (Magalhaes via TKO)

145 lbs. – Estevan Payan (0-2 UFC) vs. Alex White (0-0 UFC) – White via TKO
White is replacing an injured Mike Brown who was replacing Sean Soriano. White has an undefeated pro record of 9-0, good striking and a good ground game. Payan also has good striking and grappling, but his chin is questionable and White will have a height/reach advantage. Correct plus method

155 lbs. – Jorge Masvidal (2-1 UFC) vs. Pat Healy (0-2(1) UFC) – Masvidal via decision Masvidal lost his last fight to the tough Russian Rustam Khabilov, but still showed his great striking and solid grappling. Healy’s grinding wrestling style has been ineffective so far in the UFC and that will likely continue against Masvidal who can defend takedowns and out strike Healy. Correct plus method

170 lbs. – Thiago Alves (11-6 UFC) vs. Seth Baczynski (5-3 UFC) – Alves via TKO
Alves last fought in 2012 losing via submission to Martin Kampmann after controlling the entire fight. He then suffered a number of injuries preventing his UFC return. Alves will have to battle 2 years of ring rust and a major height/reach disadvantage, but he’ll still the much better fighter all-around. Correct (Alves via U. decision)

155 lbs. – #5 Rafael dos Anjos (9-4 UFC) vs. #7 Khabib Nurmagomedov (5-0 UFC) – Khabib via decision
Khabib still boasts an undefeated pro record of 21-0 and with his solid striking and even better grappling it’s no wonder why. Dos Anjos has won 5 straight fights against all tough fighters. The striking exchanges should be fairly even, but it will be Khabib’s grappling that is the deciding factor. Correct plus method

Main Card: 3-1-0 Total MMA Predictions: 493-272-3 = 64%

185 lbs. – #13 Brad Tavares (7-1 UFC) vs. #14 Yoel Romero (3-0 UFC) - Romero via decision
Tavares has rattled off 5 straight wins inside the octagon and is now taking a big step up in competition. Romero has burst onto the UFC Middleweight scene with 3 straight TKO wins and will look to continue his success. On the feet Romero will have the advantage with his speed, power and technique, but Tavares is a very scrappy Hawaiian that won’t back down. Romero is a world champion in freestyle wrestling so he should be able to control Tavares on the ground or in the clinch, but Romero has been taken down several times and Tavares consistently shows solid grappling. Tavares is a great fighter that could steal a decision with timely takedowns, but Romero should be too much for him. Correct plus method

155 lbs. – #8 Donald Cerrone (9-3 UFC) vs. #11 Edson Barboza (7-1 UFC) - Cerrone via decision
Cerrone has won his last 2 fights earning himself KO and Submission of the Night honours. Barboza has won his last 3 fights earning 2 TKO finishes. On the feet Cerrone should have a slight advantage with his technique and higher strike output, but Barboza can be very effective with his powerful leg kicks and flashy techniques. Neither fighter has great wrestling, but both are well versed in grappling so expect a lot of scrambles and submissions attempts if this fight goes to the ground. This will be an action packed back and forth fight which makes it hard to pick a winner, but Cerrone’s experience and technique should prevail. Correct (Cerrone via submission)

135 lbs. – #3 Miesha Tate (0-2 UFC) vs. #7 Liz Carmouche (1-2 UFC) - Tate via decision
Tate stepped up and replaced an injured Cat Zigano to take on Ronda Rousey, but suffered another submission loss to the Champion. Carmouche lost her last fight to Alexis Davis via decision, but defeated the tough Jessica Andrade via TKO in her previous fight. On the feet Tate might have a slight advantage with her boxing, but Carmouche also has solid boxing and will enjoy a 1.5 inch reach advantage. Both women are based in grappling which may cancel out, but if not Tate will likely be the one in control. This is a fairly even matchup, but Tate should be better in all areas. Correct plus method

265 lbs. – #2 Fabricio Werdum (5-2 UFC) vs. #3 Travis Browne (7-1-1 UFC) - Browne via TKO
Werdum is 3-0 since rejoining the UFC and has looked like truly one of the best fighters in the world with his aggressive yet technical striking as well as possibly the best ground game in the Heavyweight division. Since his TKO loss to Antonio Silva, Browne has gone 3-0 with 3 KO’s all against very tough competition and has proven his striking is one of the best in the Heavyweight division. On the feet Browne will likely have the advantage with his height/reach advantage as well as his use kicks and other weapons, but Werdum’s boxing is no joke and he will be trying to KO Browne. If Werdum can get this fight to the ground he will of course be capable of pulling out a submission, but Browne has never been submitted and has been perfect in his takedown defense. Browne will continue his knockout streak as he defends takedown attempts and forces Werdum to strike with him. Wrong - Werdum via U. decision