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UFC Fight Night 36: Machida vs. Mousasi: Full card predictions

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UFC Fight Night 36 is this Saturday, February 15 at the Arena Jaragua in Jaragua do Sul, Brazil. Fight Pass online prelims start at 7:30p.m., and the main card can be seen live on Sportsnet 360 at 10:30p.m. The main and co-main events are full of top contenders in the Middleweight division which may determine Champion Chris Weidman’s next opponent. Enjoy the predictions and UFC FN 36 fight card.

Fight Pass Prelims: 5-2-0

145 lbs. – Douglas Silva de Andrade (0-0 UFC) vs. Zubair Tuhugov (0-0 UFC) – Tuhugov via decision
Andrade has 18 KO/TKO’s in 22 pro fights, but he hasn’t faced the toughest opponents. Tuhugov is a technical striker with good power and defense, but he should also control the grappling in this fight. Correct plus method

170 lbs. – Ildemar Alcantara (2-1 UFC) vs. Albert Tumenov (0-0 UFC) – Tumenov via TKO
Alcantara is a tough well-rounded fighter, but Tumenov has very technical striking with huge KO power. Alcantara may have an advantage on the ground, but Tumenov has excellent takedown defence. Wrong - Alcantara via S. decision

145 lbs. – Felipe Arantes (2-2-1 UFC) vs. Maximo Blanco (1-2 UFC) – Arantes via decision
Blanco has big power in his strikes and great wrestling, but he struggles to put it all together sometimes and Arantes is very consistent with a well-rounded attack of striking and grappling. Correct plus method

135 lbs. – Iuri Alcantara (3-2(1) UFC) vs. Wilson Reis (1-0 UFC) – Alcantara via TKO
Alcantara will be the better striker and should be able to defend any takedown attempts and make Reis trade with him on the feet. Reis doesn’t have much striking technique and has a questionable chin. Correct (Alcantara via S. decision)

155 lbs. – Francisco Trinaldo (3-2 UFC) vs. Jesse Ronson (0-1 UFC) – Trinaldo via submission
Ronson is a good striker, but he struggled to defend takedowns in his last fight and Trinaldo is a strong grappler. Trinaldo can also strike, but he’ll likely take this fight to the ground and go for the finish. Correct (Trinaldo via S. decision)

155 lbs. – Rodrigo Damm (2-1 UFC) vs. Ivan Jorge (1-0 UFC) – Jorge via decision
Damm has decent striking and a good submission game, but Jorge will be the more aggressive grappler and has never been submitted. Jorge can also strike but he’ll look to set up takedowns or clinch control. Wrong - Damm via U. decision

155 lbs. – Cristiano Marcello (1-2 UFC) vs. Joe Proctor (1-1 UFC) – Proctor via decision
Marcello is a 4th degree BJJ black belt, but has only 1 takedown in the UFC so his grappling isn’t being utilized like it should. Proctor has excellent boxing and takedown defense so it should be his fight to win. Correct plus method

Main Card: 4-1-0 Total MMA Predictions: 439-242-2 = 64%

145 lbs. – Charles Oliveira (4-4(1) UFC) vs. Andy Ogle (1-2 UFC) - Oliveira via submission
Oliveira is coming off 2 straight losses, a KO defeat to Cub Swanson and a unanimous decision at the hands of Frankie Edgar. Ogle lost his last fight to Cole Miller in a match where he struggled with his grappling and didn’t do enough with his striking. Oliveira isn’t the best striker and he doesn’t have any KO finishes in the UFC, but he uses his range, great kicks and attempts high risk moves due to his confidence on the ground. Ogle has solid footwork and good technique, but he isn’t threatening enough on the feet for Oliveira. Oliveira will look for takedowns, clinch control or try to take Ogles back in order to get this fight to the ground and work his excellent submission attacks. Oliveira will get his hands on Ogle and make this a grappling match where he can outclass him. Correct plus method

170 lbs. – Viscardi Andrade (1-0 UFC) vs. Nicholas Musoke (1-0 UFC) - Andrade via TKO
Andrade won his UFC debut against Bristol Marunde via TKO where he unloaded with a flurry of strikes early on and got the finish. Musoke also won his debut against Alessio Sakara where he was rocked early, but recovered quickly to get the beautiful armbar submission. On the feet Andrade should have an advantage with his power and technique, but Musoke won’t hesitate to trade punches. Both men have a solid grappling game which indicates a lot of scrambles if this fight does go to the ground, but Andrade and Musoke both prefer to strike. Andrade will be very aggressive with his striking and should find an opening in Musoke’s striking defense. Wrong - Musoke via U.decision

170 lbs. – Erick Silva (3-3 UFC) vs. Takenori Sato (0-0 UFC) - Silva via TKO
Silva suffered a surprising 2nd round KO in his last fight against Dong-Hyun Kim, but still showed why he’s a talented prospect. Sato has spent the last half of his pro career defending his Welterweight title in the Pancrase organization. On the feet Silva will have a big advantage with his speed, power and technique so expect him to control the striking. Sato is a grappling expert so he’ll look for the takedown, but Silva has black belts in BJJ and Judo so his grappling defense will thwart any attacks from Sato. Sato will be outmatched in this fight and likely wilt under the pressure applied by Silva. Correct plus method

185 lbs. – #3 Ronaldo Souza (2-0 UFC) vs. #8 Francis Carmont (6-0 UFC) - Souza via submission
Souza is now 2-0 in the UFC with 2 first round finishes over tough opponents. Souza has rocketed himself into a top contender spot with his devastating TKO and submission wins. Carmont has been rolling through the Middleweight division and earned himself a spot in the division’s top 10, but this will be by far the toughest fight of his career. On the feet it should be a fairly even matchup between the power and aggressiveness of Souza versus the long reach and kicks from Carmont. Souza is a world class grappler so he’ll likely take this fight to the ground and see how Carmont fights off his back. Carmont is a talented fighter, but Souza’s grappling should be the difference in this fight. Correct (Souza via U. decision)

185 lbs. – #4 Lyoto Machida (12-4 UFC) vs. Gegard Mousasi (1-0 UFC) - Machida via TKO
Machida won his last fight which was his Middleweight debut against Mark Munoz via 1st round KO (head kick). Mousasi won his long awaited UFC debut against Ilir Latifi at Light Heavyweight, but decided to return to his natural weight class of 185 following that fight. On the feet Machida will have the advantage with his speed, accuracy and elusive defense, but Mousasi also has solid striking skills so he’ll be looking for any openings Machida gives him. Mousasi might have a slight grappling advantage over Machida, but he’ll struggle to even get a hold of Machida let alone a takedown. Even if Mousasi can gain top control, Machida has shown great ability to scramble back to his feet or attack with submissions. Machida will use his elusive striking to frustrate Mousasi until he makes a mistake and Machida counters with a punch or kick for the finish. Correct (Machida via U. decision)

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