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UFC 172: Jones vs. Teixeira: Full card predictions

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 21: Jon Jones celebrates defeating Rashad Evans by unanimous decision in their light heavyweight title bout for UFC 145 at Philips Arena on April 21, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.
(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

UFC 172 is this Saturday, April 26 at the Baltimore Arena in Baltimore, Maryland. Online prelims start at 7:30p.m., the next block of prelims air at 8:00p.m., and the main card can be seen live on Pay-Per-View at 10:00p.m. This is an absolutely stacked card from top to bottom with the icing on top being a Light Heavyweight title fight between champion Jon Jones and challenger Glover Teixeira. Enjoy the predictions and UFC 172 fight card.

Fight Pass Prelims: 1-0-0

135 lbs. – Chris Beal (0-0 UFC) vs. Patrick Williams (0-0 UFC) – Beal via decision
Beal has technical boxing, fast hands, good power and a solid wrestling base. Williams is an aggressive striker, but he’s wild in his attack and leaves openings for counters. Williams typically fights at 145 so he’ll have a size advantage, but Beal should be able to sprawl and brawl earning a decision. Correct (Beal via KO)

Fox Sports Prelims: 4-0-0

155 lbs. – Danny Castillo (6-3 UFC) vs. Charlie Brenneman (4-5 UFC) – Castillo via decision
Castillo has great wrestling and solid takedown defense, so he should be able to force Brenneman into a striking match. Castillo will also have the better boxing, more power and the better chin. Brenneman will likely not be able to get his wrestling going and will get beat up on the feet. Correct (Castillo via KO)

135 lbs. – #14 Jessamyn Duke (1-0 UFC) vs. #12 Bethe Correia (1-0 UFC) – Correia via decision
On the feet Duke will have a massive height and reach advantage as well as good technique, so she’ll very likely get the better of the exchanges. Correia also has good striking, but she may look to employ her grappling attacks against Duke to win on the scorecards. Correct plus method

155 lbs. – Takanori Gomi (3-4 UFC) vs. Isaac Vallie-Flagg (1-1 UFC) – Gomi via TKO
Flagg is an aggressive striker with good power, but Gomi will be much better on the feet with his technique, speed and power. Gomi should also be able to control the grappling battles, as Flagg has shown just a bit worse wrestling then Gomi so far in the UFC. Correct (Gomi via U. decision)

125 lbs. – #2 Joseph Benavidez (6-2 UFC) vs. #8 Tim Elliott (2-2 UFC) – Benavidez via decision
Elliot will have a slight height/reach advantage, but Benavidez should still win the majority of the striking exchanges. Elliot has a very solid wrestling base which he’ll look to use and may find success, but Benavidez has great sprawls and enough grappling to scramble back to his feet. Correct (Benavidez via submission)

Main Card: 2-3-0 Total MMA Predictions: 500-275-3 = 65%

145 lbs. – Max Holloway (4-3 UFC) vs. Andre Fili (1-0 UFC) - Fili via decision
Holloway bounced back from 2 straight losses and TKO’d Will Chope in a KO of the night performance. Fili won his UFC debut back in October ’13 against Jeremy Larsen via TKO. On the feet it should be a very even matchup as both men have speed and technique, but Fili will have a 3.5 inch read advantage and may take control. Both men prefer to strike so this should stay standing, but Fili trains with Team Alpha Male so expect him to have a slight advantage on the mat if it goes there. Holloway is a great striker and could use his experience to win this fight, but Fili has the advantages and should win this fight. Wrong - Holloway via submission

155 lbs. – #9 Jim Miller (12-3(1) UFC) vs. Yancy Medeiros (0-1(1) UFC) - Miller via submission
Miller won his last fight via 1st round armbar against Fabricio Camoes, after losing via submission to Pat Healy in a fight that was ruled a No Contest. Medeiros won his last fight via 1st round KO against Yves Edwards, but the fight was ruled a No Contest due to Medeiros testing positive for marijuana. On the feet Medeiros will have the advantage with his solid striking technique, speed and power, but Miller is experienced enough to not get hurt. On the ground Miller will have the advantage and he’ll certainly look for takedowns so he can employ his g&p or submission attacks. Miller will fight smart and get this fight to the ground where he can finish Medeiros. Correct plus method

185 lbs. – #5 Luke Rockhold (1-1 UFC) vs. #11 Tim Boetsch (6-3 UFC) - Rockhold via TKO
Rockhold bounced back from a KO loss to Vitor Belfort and earned a TKO of his own against Costa Philippou back in January. Boetsch has bounced back from 2 straight losses and won a split decision against CB Dollaway at UFC 166. On the feet Rockhold will have the advantage with his striking technique as well as a 3 inch height and reach advantage. Rockhold should again have the advantage on the ground as he’s shown solid takedowns, aggressive top control and great submissions. Boetsch is solid all-around, but he relies on out muscling his opponents and he won’t be able to do that against Rockhold. Rockhold will stuff takedowns and earn another TKO victory. Correct (Rockhold via submission)

205 lbs. – #4 Phil Davis (8-1(1) UFC) vs. Anthony Johnson (7-4 UFC) - Davis via submission
Davis has won 3 straight fights since his No Contest and has looked better in each fight. Johnson is making his return to the UFC since he last fought in January ’12, but he’s won 6 straight fights with 4 finishes (3KO’s & 1TKO). On the feet Johnson will likely have the advantage as he’s always been an elite striker with god given speed and power, but Davis is always improving and he seemed to handle Machida well enough. On the ground Davis will have the advantage with his very solid wrestling base. Johnson is also a very experienced wrestler, but he’s not at the level of Davis. Davis will fight smart on the feet, search for takedowns and look for a finish. Wrong - Johnson via U. decision

205 lbs. – (C) Jon Jones (13-1 UFC) vs. #2 Glover Teixeira (5-0 UFC) - Teixeira via decision
Jones has been borderline perfect so far in the UFC, but his unanimous decision win over Alexander Gustafsson has been criticized more than anything. Teixeira has also been close to perfection, with his only exception not being able to finish Rampage Jackson. On the feet most people are picking Jones to have the advantage as he’ll have a massive 8.5 inch reach advantage, great technique and diverse attacks, but Teixeira will likely surprise all those people. Teixeira has very solid boxing, fists like melons, a granite chin and enough power to KO likely any UFC fighter. Again people are probably picking Jones to have the advantage on the ground with his trip takedowns and tricky g&p, but Teixeira has shown great wrestling skill so far in the UFC defending every single takedown attempt and securing a bunch of his own. Teixeira’s power will make Jones hesitant on the feet, and if Teixeira can continue his strong wrestling he should be able to shock the world and win the belt. Wrong - Jones via U. decision