Tonight, March 27th, at 7pm(PST), UFC 111 will take place at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. It is time to make an educated guess about the top fights taking place this evening.
UFC Welterweight Championship: George St. Pierre (No.1 WW, 19-2) vs. Dan Hardy (No.4 WW, 23-6)
As we all know, St, Pierre is a world class competitor. He has the skills, the power, the physique and the favor of the crowd. He is the UFC's Golden Boy. He has not lost since the fluke punch behind the head to Matt Serra in 2007. He has plowed through the competition in the meantime. Dan Hardy is somewhat of a wildcard. He has incredible kickboxing skills and has very powerful hooks. He looked extremely impressive in his fight against Mike Swick. Hardy needs to bring his A game and enter the cage in the best shape of his life. The problem with fighting St. Pierre is his reach, if Hardy can get St. Pierre to come to him, he has a chance to land a counter-shot KO. Even if he does land hard shots, St. Pierre's wrestling is too good for him to stop.
Winner: St. Pierre, TKO, Rd 4
UFC Interim Heavyweight Championship: Frank Mir (No.3 HW,13-4) vs. Shane Carwin (No.9 HW,11-0)
Frank Mir is a Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai specialist. Since his rehabilitation from his motorcycle accident, he has gone 5-3 with a win and a loss against the hulking Brock Lesnar. Mir has the skills, but Carwin is a big wrester with heavy hands, which creates the biggest problem for Mir. The problem with Carwin is that he is considered untested against top competition. This fight is a great contrast of styles.
Winner: Carwin, KO, Rd 3
Welterweight Bout: John Fitch (No.2 WW,21-3) vs. Ben Saunders (8-1-2)
The question with this fight is why Fitch is taking a fight against an unranked welterweight. Fitch is an incredible wrestler with good boxing skills and punishing knees and elbows. He has gone 11-1 in the UFC, which is an incredible feat to accomplish, and most of those wins were against top competition. His only loss came against St. Pierre. If Hardy wins tonight, he will automatically get a shot for the belt for the next welterweight championship. Saunders is a good fighter, but he lacks Fitch's world class talent. He will definitely be outmatched and outclassed.
Winner: Fitch, Rd 3, Unanimous Decision
Welterweight Bout: Nate Diaz (11-5) vs. Rory Markham (16-5)
Diaz, who is normally a lightweight (155 lb), decided to up a weight class to test his luck there. I personally think it is not a good idea, considering the No.1 lightweight BJ Penn went up and was handed a couple of losses. Diaz is a Jiu-Jitsu ace and is incredibly scrappy. He might not have the power that Markham has, but he is accurate with his punches and loves to throw combos. Markham is a very powerful striker, but tends to leave himself open to counters. He also has the natural weight advantage on his side.
Winner: Markham, Rd 3, Unanimous Decision
*Overall Prediction Record: 5-0