What was Tropical Storm Fernand came ashore bringing with it heavy rains and 50 mile per hour winds near Vera Cruz in eastern Mexico during the wee hours of Monday morning. Fernand has lost its tropical characteristics, but could spin off enough heavy rain to pose a threat of flash floods and landslides in the mountainous regions of central Mexico.
If you've enjoyed the recent break from hurricane reports, Weather Underground founder Dr. Jeff Masters says in his Monday blog entry to get ready for a busy homestretch of the 2013 season as conditions turn more favorable for tropical weather systems. "The big guns of the African Monsoon are firing off a salvo of African tropical waves over the next two weeks that will find the most favorable conditions for development that we've seen this year. While there is currently a new outbreak of dry air and dust from the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) over the Eastern Atlantic, the latest European model forecast calls for a reduction in dry air and dust over the Tropical Atlantic during the 7 - 14 day period, accompanied by low wind shear."
Dr. Masters also notes that increased thunderstorm activity along the equator is in the works which could help make September a very busy month. Currently the area of most interest to forecasters is a tropical wave that rolled off the African coast on Sunday and could show some organization by mid-week. According to Masters computer models are giving a tropical wave that could spin off Africa by Friday a much better chance of developing into a tropical system.