July 1 2014 brings the first named tropical storm of the season to the Atlantic. While this may seem early, 2013 had an earlier named storm in June and ended up with the record lowest activity for the season.
Arthur formed with 40 mph winds less than 100 miles off the central Florida coast. While this is a minimal storm, the environment is favorable to rapidly develop into a hurricane before making landfall in North Carolina Friday morning. Forecast maps are in the slide show. Composite satellite loops are in the video player here.
National Hurricane Center official report:
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
- LOCATION...27.6N 79.3W
- ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA
- ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNW OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
- PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
- MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FORT PIERCE TO FLAGLER BEACH
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS
Tropical Storm force winds reach 45 miles from the center, which is still well offshore.
Most of the rain is expected to remain offshore, but bands will clip the coast. The highest expectation will be along the path through coastal North Carolina with 4-6 inches possible.
Landfall across the North Carolina Outer Banks will be overnight Thursday into Friday morning. Then the storm is expected to turn farther away from the coast.
Note: A strong cold front will be pushing through the Mid Atlantic states which will result in locally heavy rain NOT connected to Arthur.
The main interest along most of the eastern US will be higher surf and rip currents.
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Facebook: Justin Berk, Meteorologist