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Tribune poll: Karen Lewis and Rahm Emanuel neck-and-neck in 2015 mayoral race

The Chicago Tribune is reporting in a newly released poll this morning that Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel is in deep political trouble. Emanuel's approval rating now stands at 35 percent job approval rating — down from 50 percent a little more than a year ago. According to the Tribune poll, more than half of city voters now disapprove of how Emanuel has handled his first term, up from 40 percent.

Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis is polling well against Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel next February.
Scott Olson/Getty Images North America

Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis, according to the poll, Lewis garners 43 percent of the vote with 39 percent for Emanuel and 14 percent undecided. Lewis' advantage is just outside the 3.5 percentage point error margin for the poll, consisting of cellphone and landline interviews with 800 registered city voters from Aug. 6 to this past Tuesday.

The Chicago Tribune poll is markedly different from a poll leaked by the Emanuel campaign to Crain's Chicago Business, which showed Mayor Emanuel with a 12 point lead with 45 percent for Emanuel to 33 percent for Lewis. That poll was taken by San Francisco-based pollster David Binder Research and surveyed 600 likely Chicago voters July 24-27. The results of this poll contradict a We Ask America poll earlier this month, that Lewis would beat Emanuel by 9 percentage points in a head-to-head contest if the mayoral election were held now.

The Chicago Tribune poll is somewhere in between and it is clear this race will be highly-competitive.

Meanwhile, CTU President Lewis is making the rounds, holding a "Conversations with Karen” event around the city in various places. A spokesperson for CTU President Lewis says that the events will take place in various neighborhoods throughout Chicago over the next few weeks in an effort to lend a voice to those concerned about the state of CPS in the wake of massive budget cuts, teacher lay-offs and attacks from City Hall.

CTU President Lewis will meet with teachers, police officers, firefighters and other 19th Ward parents, in a first of a series of conversations on the state of the city. The event will begin at 6:30 p.m. on Tuesday, Aug. 19, at the Beverly Woods Banquet Hall, 11532 S. Western Ave. The discussion will be moderated by famed journalist Walter Jacobson.

Tuesday, Aug. 26, 2014, is the first day to circulate for signature candidate nominating petitions for the Chicago elective offices of Mayor, Clerk, Treasurer and Alderman. The petition period extends to Monday, Nov. 17, 2014, which is the first day a candidate can file until the final day of filing on Monday, Nov. 24, 2014.

Municipal General Election will be held on Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2015, with early voting beginning Feb. 9, 2014, and extending through Saturday, Feb. 21, 2014.

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