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Trench warfare: Election 2014

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If it were a movie it might be called: “Saving congressman (your name here).” Whether it is incumbent Democrat or incumbent Republican, staying in office is dependent upon what? Here is a list.

  1. Citizen perceived performance during the last term in office -- that isn’t going to be very good with the lowest congressional rating in recent history
  2. Representative’s rapport with citizens most likely to vote -- more angry people at the polls won’t bode well for incumbents
  3. Citizen perceived alignment with political parties -- Ideologically aligned conservatives have only one place to go, but America is not conservative
  4. Representative’s answers to District constituents’ needs -- Since Republicans are zero in solutions, that is likely to come up zero
  5. Representative’s alignment with President Obama -- Obamacare, immigration reform, gun control, environment, economy

The story here from The Hill is that an acceptable performing won’t rescue incumbent Democrats. An acceptable performing economy won’t help Republicans either. That is a wash.

Incumbents must find a way to make their constituents love them when the time comes to vote.

“Dems can't count on economy to save them in midterm elections

By Niall Stanage

President Obama and Democrats may not be able to rely on the economic recovery to bolster their chances in November’s midterm elections.

Even though there has been a raft of positive economic news recently, experts in key battleground states caution that other issues, notably ObamaCare, could loom even larger than the economy.

They also add that congressional races, whether for the House or Senate, can swing as easily on local priorities as on broader questions of the national economy. And in some cases, the local economic story is different from the emerging national trend.
For the GOP to wrest control of the Senate, the party needs to pick up six seats.

In Arkansas, where Republicans fancy their chances of ousting incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor, the unemployment rate has edged up over the past 12 months and, at 7.5 percent, is now above the national average.”

http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-money/economy/194213-obama-dems-cant-count-on-economy-to-save-them-in-midterms

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