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'Survivor: Cagayan', Episode 4 preview: 'Our Time To Shine'

Tonight's episode of "Survivor: Cagayan" picks up just after we saw Brice voted out last week, who was the first person booted from the Beauty tribe. The premiere "double episode" saw back-to-back Braniacs ousted from the game. So is it now the Brawns' turn to meet Jeff Probst at Tribal Council? Usually nobody wants to go there, but that's not always the case, intelligent thought be damned. As is hinted in this week's preview, the Brawn tribe might be considering the unthinkable: Throwing a challenge to go to Tribal Council voluntarily. They can't be serious, right? And if they are, who is their target and why does he/she need to leave the game so soon?

Scenes from Episode 4 of "Survivor: Cagayan."
Monty Brinton/CBS ©2014 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.
"Episode 4."
Monty Brinton/CBS ©2014 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.

For all coverage of Survivor, including weekly episode previews, recaps and exclusive interviews, be sure to follow me on Twitter: @tomsantilli.

Here's the synopsis of tonight's episode from CBS:

Episode 4 – “Our Time To Shine” - ONE TRIBE CONSIDERS THROWING AN IMMUNITY CHALLENGE IN ORDER TO BENCH ONE OF ITS STRONGEST PLAYERS, ON “SURVIVOR,” WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12. One Tribe considers throwing an immunity challenge in order to bench one of its strongest players. Also, a meltdown at a reward challenge could mark the end for one struggling castaway, on SURVIVOR, Wednesday, March 12 (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network.

Analysis. Let's cut to the point: Throwing a challenge is never a good idea. Ever. But especially not this early in the game. Even more importantly, you just can't take this sort of risk when it is the very first Tribal Council for your tribe. Think about it. You might think you know what's going on, and who stands where, but until you've had that first vote, how can you possibly be sure where loyalties lie?

This is surely a recipe for disaster for somebody.

Assuming that the Brawns dogo to Tribal, who are they wanting to get rid of? In the video preview (above or left of this column) it sounds like dumping at the challenge is Sarah's idea and it also sounds like she says "let's get him out." Since she is telling this to Woo, her target can only be Cliff or Tony. Cliff doesn't seem like a guy they'd need to gun for in order to get out and we already know that he is beloved by most of his tribemates, Woo especially. Could Sarah have had a riff with fellow "Cops-R-Us" ally Tony and is now looking to get rid of him by intentionally throwing a challenge?

Not so fast. This could also be a ruse, since Tony and Sarah have their new-found "blue blood" cop alliance and they may see themselves as the minority. We see how tough Sarah seems and we know how devious Tony can be as well, so the move wouldn't be beneath them. It's possible that Sarah is trying to get the others to throw the challenge so that they can get rid of Tony, but maybe they will utilize Tony's hidden Idol to blindside Cliff, tipping the scales of the tribe in their favor.

It would be an incredibly bold move and perhaps a good one. But I repeat, it is never a good idea to throw a challenge. Like the saying goes, you can't succeed at anything without first trying. Well, you can't get voted out at Survivor without first going to Tribal Council. Avoid Tribal Council and you are alive. Why flirt with what could be a quick death in the game?

Be sure to check back later tonight for my full episode recap followed by my exclusive one-on-one interview with the voted out contestant tomorrow (Thursday) afternoon.

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