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'Survivor: Cagayan', Episode 13 preview: 'Straw That Broke the Camel's Back'

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Tasha is now gone and only five - Tony, Spencer, Kass, Trish and Woo - remain in the game. Tonight's episode is the last episode of "Survivor: Cagayan" before the two-hour Season Finale on May 21. We know one thing: Tony is all but a sure bet to at least reach next week's Finale. So the question is, which other three players will make it there with him?

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With a "normal" Idol and a "Special" Idol in his possession, tonight is the last time Tony can use either one, which means that there is a great chance he will use both (why go home with a souvenir when there is a million dollars on the line?). As the official synopsis from CBS plainly says, Tony will come up with a strategic way to use his Idols:

Episode 13 – “Straw That Broke the Camel’s Back” - CASTAWAYS SCALE NEW HEIGHTS AS THEY BATTLE FOR A GUARANTEED SPOT IN THE FINAL FOUR, ON “SURVIVOR,” WEDNESDAY, MAY 14. Castaways scale new heights as they battle for a guaranteed spot in the final four. Meanwhile, friends become enemies when one castaway overhears plans for her eviction, and Tony comes up with a strategy for his special Immunity idol, on SURVIVOR, Wednesday, May 14 (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network.

Analysis. Tony is so close to the million! Although he is all but assured Final Four - and even Final Three, really - his actions from this point on will definitely impact his chances of actually winning.

Right now, from the preview of tonight's episode, it looks like he and Kass are once again on the outs. Trish on the other hand, has been a long-time ally of Tony in the game, but it will be interesting to see who she stays close to for the next vote. Woo has been plotting against Tony here and there recently, but has yet to make a move. And that leaves Spencer, surely still the number one target who desperately needs to rattle off two more Immunity Challenge wins. But heck, Spencer has definitely faces worse odds this season. And he's still there.

Really everyone but Kass still has a shot of winning the game. Tony's two Idols does seem to take some of the excitement and the potential drama out of what we will see in tonight's episode, which is a shame considering how good this season has been.

It does seem that no matter what goes on, if Spencer loses the challenge, he has to be gone. If he makes Final Four, he is just one Immunity win away from making it to the final vote and he would surely win one would have to think, considering the current make-up of the jury. Tony and the others can't allow all of their work in the game to just be washed away by an Immunity Challenge win, so look for Spencer to go tonight unless he pulls off another victory.

If he does win, things get mighty interesting, as the others will be forced to vote for one another. If Spencer were to vote along with Tony (he doesn't care who goes at this point, right? As long as it's not him), could Kass and Trish look to blindside Tony, not knowing about his "Special" Idol that could save him after the votes are read? If so, Woo would be the swing vote. If he votes along with Tony, you could see Tony turn on Trish, or vote out Kass, whom he doesn't like but who would be a mighty fine person to be sitting next to in the end. If Woo were to vote with Kass and Trish to blindside Tony, Tony would just use his Special Idol and his pick would go home anyway.

If you think about it, even if all four players vote against Tony, Tony will still get to dictate who goes home once he plays his Special Idol.

So although we may know how this episode will play out, it will be very interesting to see who Tony plans on sitting next to in the end...and why.

What are your thoughts? Post your comments below!!!!

How This Works: As the Survivor Examiner, you can expect an episode preview every Wednesday morning detailing the upcoming episode and getting you up to speed in case you missed anything from the previous week. Then later on Wednesday night, expect my full episode recap followed by a separate analysis article.

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