A strong cold front will pass through the region this morning ushering in another bitter cold Arctic airmass in its wake. Rainfall will change to snow showers and squalls by early afternoon. Winds will become strong and gusty from the west and northwest.
Lake effect snowfall will begin across the favored portions of lakes Erie and Ontario this afternoon and evening, and a prolonged lake effect event is expected for these areas. Some of the flurries, squalls, and cloud cover may stray down the Mohawk and Schoharie Valleys into the Capital Region from time to time through Wednesday. However, of greater concern will be the bitter cold airmass in place, and the strong and gusty westerly to northwesterly winds that will drive wind chills well below zero at times.
High pressure will build into the region on Wednesday and move to our east by Wednesday night and Thursday. Winds should begin to lighten up a bit by this point in time, and also temperatures will begin to rise upward a bit, back toward normal readings for this time of year.
Another area of low pressure approaches the region to close out the work week. This is followed by unsettled conditions for the weekend. In addition, temperatures look to moderate quite a bit by this point, and may last the weekend being above normal.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Areas of fog and drizzle early this morning. Rain developing by mid morning. Rain may mix with or change to snow before tapering off during the afternoon. A snow shower or flurry is possible late in the day. Turning windy and colder. Early high in the mid 40’s, with temperatures falling through the 30’s during the afternoon. South winds 5-15 MPH this morning, shifting west and increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts to near 30 MPH possible at times during the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100 percent. A coating of snowfall is possible this afternoon.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, windy, and very cold. Low near 10. West winds 15-30 MPH with higher gusts to near 35 MPH possible at times. Wind chill values of 10 to 20 below zero at times.
Tuesday: Partly sunny, windy, and bitter cold. High 15-20. West winds 15-30 MPH with higher gusts to near 40 MPH possible at times. Wind chill values 10 to 20 below zero at times.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, windy, and bitter cold. Low near 10. West winds 15-25 MPH with some higher gusts possible at times. Wind chill values of 5 to 15 below zero at times.
Wednesday: Partly sunny and breezy. Very cold. High near 20. West to southwest winds 10-15 MPH.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High near 30 and low near 20.
Friday: Increasing clouds with a 40 percent chance of rain and snow. High near 35 and low near 25.
Saturday: A 40 percent chance of rain and snow. High near 40 and low near 30.
Sunday: A 30 percent chance of light rain. High near 45 and low near 35.