The weather of late has certainly been March like, that is to say mild temperatures, snowy conditions, rain and now back to below normal cold. The theme through the next five days is for below normal temperatures. We will have some stiff winds at times along with the chilly temperatures to remind us winter is not done just yet.
Expect a very chilly start to the day on Friday morning. Overnight temperatures will have fallen into the upper teens and low 20s by sunrise and that is where your day will start for temperatures. Afternoon highs will struggle to reach the low 40s. Sky coverage starts out partly sunny, followed by a mostly cloudy afternoon. As a weak cold front and disturbance traverse the area late Friday and Friday evening there will be a chance for a sprinkle or snow flurry at that time. Friday night lows will not be as cold, falling into the mid 20s. West winds increase during the day, gusting to 25 or 30 mph in the afternoon and evening.
The weak front will sag to the south of New England and slow to a near stall off the mid-Atlantic coast. A weak wave of low pressure will ride along the front and remain well south of southern New England during Saturday. Most of the moisture will be too far south to give us much, if any, precipitation. Perhaps, a snow flurry or snow shower during the day, but overall a mostly cloudy, dry and chilly Saturday. Highs only in the mid to upper 30s. Winds will be light. Skies partially clear at night, lows sink to the mid 20s.
High pressure pays us a visit on Saint Patrick’s Day. A partly sunny and chilly day will be on tap. Highs once again struggle to reach 40 degrees, falling once again into the mid 20s at night.
Monday should be a repeat of Sunday, with cloudiness on the increase later in the day. This will be ahead of a storm system that will impact the region by Tuesday morning. Highs on Monday near 40. Lows near 30.
There are a couple of scenarios that may play out with this next storm. One is what we call an inside runner, meaning the system goes to the west of us and we remain on the warmer side, meaning mostly a rain event. Another solution suggests a coastal low will form but not become the primary, however this would help to lock in the colder air for a longer period of time, meaning a snow to mix event. Finally, the coastal secondary becomes the main player, thus the colder air remains a lock and we get snow. At this time it remains uncertain what solution will come to the forefront so for now we will play the middle of the road and suggest a snow to mix and possibly change to rain during Tuesday. The hilly terrain would see a longer period of snow and mix. Temperatures will probably remain in the mid to upper 30s. The precipitation winds down at night, possibly changing to all snow before ending. Lows dipping back into the 20s. Stay tuned!
Unfortunately, the pattern suggests that it remains colder than normal through most of next week as well. Don’t put away those winter jackets and scarf’s just yet.
Have a good Friday and weekend.