While heavy rains fall in the upper Plains, snow falls in sections of the Rockies and the mid-Atlantic dries out from last weeks soaking we remain in a tranquil weather pattern locally as high pressure remains in place Tuesday.
A very slow moving and weakening cold front is approaching the Hudson Valley this evening with very little moisture associated with it. The front moves across western Massachusetts with little fanfare late tonight and early on Tuesday. Skies remain generally partly cloudy through Tuesday with high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Winds remain light out of the northeast, then southeast.
A trough will extend northward from low pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast. This will spread more clouds into the local area Tuesday night as skies become mostly cloudy. Temperatures fall back into the 40s once again. Winds near calm.
During Wednesday the trough will likely spread showers offshore and whether any of these make it this far inland remains to be seen. However, at the same time a cold front approaches from our west bringing a better chance of a few showers for Wednesday night. The combination of both systems will keep skies mostly cloudy Wednesday and Wednesday night. Highs in the 60s Wednesday, upper 40s to low 50s overnight. Light southeast to south winds.
Thursday will feature the passage of a cold front, most likely early in the day. There is a chance of a shower, otherwise skies improve to become partly sunny during the afternoon. Highs once again in the 60s.
Thursday night through Saturday should feature dry conditions under a partly cloudy sky. Highs in the low to mid 60s, overnight lows in the low to mid 40s Thursday night, cooling to the upper 30s to low 40s Friday night.
One has to wonder if we will pay the price come Winter for all the nice weather we have enjoyed during September and October. One long term forecast, from AccuWeather, suggests the onset of Winter will be slow to start in the Northeast, probably not ramping up until January. Take with that what you will but earlier Winter predictions had us getting substantial amounts of snowfall. Continue to enjoy what we have now because there are indications of a pattern change later this month, bringing much cooler air to the interior Northeast and a chance of storminess in early November. We’ll see how that unfolds over the coming weeks.