This persistent weather pattern will continue into the new work week as the storm that has meandered about north of us continues to rotate clouds and occasional showers of snow or rain into the area. The precipitation will be very light, with most of you staying dry. It will remain seasonably cool, however a gusty breeze will develop as the low strengthens and this will make it feel quite chilly Monday.
By Tuesday clouds should thin out a bit and we will be treated to periods of sunshine for a change. Seasonably cool temperatures once again but this time with lighter winds as that pesky storm system finally begins to pull away into the Atlantic.
Low pressure will move through the Tennessee Valley early in the week and is forecast to be positioned near the Virginia Capes by Wednesday morning. After that it is expected to move well south of New England during the Wednesday night and Thursday time period as it blows up into a significant ocean storm. This scenario will keep the heavy precipitation south of our area. However, we will still deal with gusty winds and perhaps coastal impacts as the storm to our south and high pressure to our north create a strong easterly wind. With the onshore flow there is the possibility of snow showers at times Wednesday and Wednesday night. One last note, the door remains open for the possibility the storm track takes a more northeasterly turn and this would enhance impacts in our area. Right now that appears to be a low threat.
As the large ocean storm begins to pull away on Thursday high pressure will begin to expand southward out of Canada as the work week wraps up. Friday may very well be the pick of the week as sunny skies return and temperatures climb slightly above normal.
Please keep in mind that if computer guidance changes that storm track further north for mid week all bets are off on the forecast for Wednesday and Thursday as we would then be looking at a snowstorm in the greater Springfield area.
Five Day Outlook:
Monday and Monday night: Changeable skies, chance of a rain or snow shower. High temperatures close to 40 degrees. Overnight lows 26 to 30. Northwest winds increasing to 10 to 20 mph, with gusts to near 30 mph likely.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Highs 40 to 44. Winds north 10 mph or less.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 26 to 30. Light northeast winds.
Wednesday and Wednesday night: Chance of occasional snow showers or light snow. Otherwise, cloudy skies, breezy and cool. Highs 36 to 40. Lows 28 to 32.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy and brisk. Highs near 40.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Lows 25 to 29.
Friday: Considerable sunshine and pleasant. Highs 42 to 46.