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Springfield weather: Changeable conditions ahead this week

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March is a month of transition as we go from Winter to Spring. One day it can be sunny and 55 degrees and the next day we are getting snow. This cycle may occur several times during any given March and makes for an interesting month if you are a weather watcher. As for the meteorologists who have to try and forecast all of the changes the atmosphere is going through it is probably one of the toughest months to forecast locally and perhaps at times a frustrating month to do so as well.

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Many ups and downs are going to be at hand this upcoming week. From a pleasant Sunday, to snow showers Monday morning, followed by a mild Tuesday which may see temperatures hovering near 50 degrees. Then just as you think Spring has sprung Winter returns abruptly later Wednesday and Thursday with the possibility of a significant storm. Colder air follows Friday and then retreats over next weekend. All in a weeks work!

Here is the breakdown: A weak disturbance approaches the Pioneer Valley later tonight and then moves to our east by Monday afternoon. Plenty of clouds and the chance for snow flurries and scattered snow showers late tonight and Monday morning will be of nuisance value only.

Low pressure races across southern Quebec Tuesday, dragging a cold across the valley by midday. However, we manage to squeeze out a mild day despite the frontal passage as temperatures climb above normal.

The cold front settles south of New England. Colder air begins to settle over the area through Wednesday. Meanwhile, low pressure is expected to track out of the Plains States and into the Ohio Valley by Wednesday. Three scenarios can play out on this storm, but none of them suggest this will miss. 1) The storm tracks across southern most New England bringing a mix of rain and snow. 2) A track across Cape Cod which would bring some mix early in the storm, then all snow. 3) The coldest solution of the three, meaning a track further offshore which holds in the colder air and yet is still close enough to give us several inches of snow. At this point scenario 2 is the one favored but the outlook can and probably will change since we are still almost 3 days out from the event.

Whatever happens with the storm we will be dealt a cold and blustery Friday with below normal temperatures.

72 Hour Outlook:

Tonight: Skies cloud up and there is a chance of a flurry or snow shower late. Cold, low temperatures in the low 20s. Light winds.

Monday: Flurries, chance of scattered snow showers through the morning. Few breaks of sun possible in the afternoon. Highs nearing 40 degrees. Light winds.

Monday night: Considerable cloudiness with a remote chance of a passing flurry. Not so cold. Lows in the low 30s. Light winds continue.

Tuesday: Abundant sunshine and mild. Highs approaching 50.

Tuesday night: Becoming cloudy. Lows in the low 30s.

Wednesday: A mix of rain and snow likely, better chance of mostly snow through the hills. Highs near 40.

Wednesday night: Snow, with a chance of rain mixed in early at night. Lows near 30.

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