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NHL playoffs picks to Vegas odds as well as NBA playoff picks ATS have been great to pro gamblers, but the next several months are predominately about exploiting bad lines in MLB thanks to what oddsmakers do not want you to know about the climate for gamblers.

Here is a free pick in MLB, an actual Wise Guy winner from Joe Duffy’s Picks.

COLORADO (NICASIO -115) Texas (Ross)

When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are a go-against at 711-548, +107.9 units.

Colorado is 7-2 the last nine and 13-5 last 18. Texas is 2-5 the last seven. Robby Ross is getting pounded. In his last three his ERA is 7.37 with an equally horrid 1.705 WHIP. We also know that because of the questionable way MLB defines unearned runs, totals runs given up is even more important. He has been lit up for 19 total runs in his last 15 1/3 IP. Now he is headed to the best hitters ballpark in the world. Yet Juan Nicasio has ERA and WHIP of 3.37 and 1.125 in four home starts and the Rockies have won 3-of-4.

In 34 games Colorado batting average and OBP of .300 and .350. In their last seven games the Rockies numbers are .317 and .357. In the last five games Colorado has a slugging percentage of .588 to .379 for Texas. In their last 10 games it is .542 to .333. Colorado is 6-1 at home in the series.

Joe Duffy’s Picks is to go with Colorado. Joe Duffy’s Picks goes 4-0 Tuesday. The only thing out of the ordinary was that we actually won in extra innings. We are 9-3 with all Wise Guys, four moneyline underdogs including the NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year on the Underdog Penguins.

The Clippers make us 161-130 with all basketball sides. We have the Nets-Heat side up now. We have the single best MLB portfolio of season with four Wise Guys among six MLB. This includes the NL Game of the Week. We go 7-0 in all. Which team is backed by an angle that is 711-548 for +107.9 units? Which team has an OBP of .382 their last seven games? Which team has a slugging percentage edge of .093 last seven? Hint, they all favor and underdog or small favorite and all are unlocked inside at


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