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LA ANGELES ANGELS (WILSON -105) Toronto (Buehrle)
The Angels are a strong 11-7 on the road while Toronto is 7-10 at home -5.2 units. In seven starts, CJ Wilson has an ERA and WHIP of 3.21 and 1.133. He is getting stronger as his last three are 2.05 and 0.909.
Los Angeles has won six straight and 10-of-11 and 13-of-16 over Toronto and seven in a row in Canada +7.3 units. The road team has won seven straight in the series.
Toronto is 1-3 the last four to Wilson. Mark Buehrle is 2-8 the last 10 decisions to the Halos. He has a team mark of 1-4 the last five to him. When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad hitting .260 or less after allowing eight or more runs they are 590-441, +109.1 units. Go against a starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer home runs per start, after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more earned runs 926-836, +101.9 units.
The Angels are 12-3 road to teams with a losing record. They are 12-3 in Wilson’s last 15 road starts. Toronto is 3-7 at home and 3-7 off a loss. The Angels are a fantastic 14-1 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .460-.490 +14 units.
The winner Los Angeles Angels.
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