Heading into the training camp phase of the 2014 NFL season, the Denver Broncos are the preseason favorite to win the Super Bowl this season. The Broncos are listed at odds of 6 to 1 to win the Super Bowl for the 2014 season.
Should the Denver Broncos be the 2014 favorites to win the Super Bowl?
The Denver Broncos made the Super Bowl for the 2013 season, but they were absolutely humiliated by the Seattle Seahawks at MetLife Stadium by a score of 43-8. The Seahwaks are the second choice to win the Super Bowl this season at odds of 7 to 1.
Has anything changed with the Broncos in the off season to make anyone think they are a better team in 2014?
Denver Broncos additions
The Broncos did add pass rush specialist DeMarcus Ware as a free agent. In his first nine seasons in the NFL, all with the Dallas Cowboys, DeMarcus Ware recorded 117 sacks, for an average of 13 sacks per season.
When healthy, DeMarcus Ware has been one of the best pass rush specialists in the NFL. But he is 32 years old now, and he recorded a career low six sacks while playing in a career low 13 games in 2013 for the Cowboys.
The Broncos also added cornerback Aqib Talib to bolster the defense after releasing longtime corner Champ Bailey. Talib is one of the better corners in the NFL but he has a spotty off the field record.
Talib was suspended four games by the NFL in 2012 for substance abuse, which Talib claimed was for taking Adderall. Aqib Talib has also been arrested a few times for things like battery and aggravated assault with a deadly weapon.
The Broncos also signed WR Emmanuel Sanders. In his first four years in the NFL, all with the Pittsburgh Steelers, Emmanuel Sanders caught 161 passes for 2,030 yards (12.6 yards per catch), and 11 touchdowns. Having Sanders around certainly won't hurt the already explosive Broncos offense.
Knowshon Moreno is now with Miami Dolphins
A significant loss for the Broncos occurred when their 2013 leading rusher Knowshon Moreno signed with the Miami Dolphins in the off season. Moreno accounted for almost 1,600 yards and 13 TDs last season from the line of scrimmage for the Broncos. The team will try and replace him with second year back Montee Ball.
Overall, I would say the Broncos added a little more in the off season than they lost. But with the Denver Broncos it really all comes down to Peyton Manning. Here is why I would not be betting on the Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl this season at odds of 6 to 1.
Peyton Manning's playoff record is just 11-12 vs a 167-73 regular season record
Peyton Manning's overall record in the playoffs is just 11-12 (.478). Compare that to his regular season record of 167-73 (.696). A quarterback who wins almost 70% of his regular season games but has a losing record in the playoffs is a risky bet to win a Super Bowl.
Because of Peyton Manning's very spotty record in the playoffs, the Denver Broncos should not be favored to win the Super Bowl this season. That doesn't mean they won't win the Super Bowl this season, but due to Peyton Manning's overall playoff record, bettors should demand higher odds for the bet than 6 to 1.